Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with aggregates from sources such as The New York Times and Economist/YouGov showing figures near 37-38% as of mid-August 2026. Trader consensus in the 37.5-38.4 range reflects this stability, driven by persistent public reaction to U.S. military involvement in Iran, including concerns over costs and casualties, alongside domestic pressures from gas prices and broader economic sentiment. Limited movement in recent surveys and the short window until August 21 have kept probabilities concentrated, as new data releases or shifts in foreign policy developments could still adjust the final reading within the narrow bands.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado38,0–38,4 36%
37,5–37,9 29%
38,5–38,9 22%
37,0–37,4 11%
NOVO
NOVO
21 ago 2026
<37,0
4%
37,0–37,4
11%
37,5–37,9
29%
38,0–38,4
36%
38,5–38,9
22%
39,0+
6%
38,0–38,4 36%
37,5–37,9 29%
38,5–38,9 22%
37,0–37,4 11%
NOVO
NOVO
21 ago 2026
<37,0
$173 Vol.
4%
37,0–37,4
$113 Vol.
11%
37,5–37,9
$391 Vol.
29%
38,0–38,4
$302 Vol.
36%
38,5–38,9
$197 Vol.
22%
39,0+
$174 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with aggregates from sources such as The New York Times and Economist/YouGov showing figures near 37-38% as of mid-August 2026. Trader consensus in the 37.5-38.4 range reflects this stability, driven by persistent public reaction to U.S. military involvement in Iran, including concerns over costs and casualties, alongside domestic pressures from gas prices and broader economic sentiment. Limited movement in recent surveys and the short window until August 21 have kept probabilities concentrated, as new data releases or shifts in foreign policy developments could still adjust the final reading within the narrow bands.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
Volume
$1,349Data de Término
21 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with aggregates from sources such as The New York Times and Economist/YouGov showing figures near 37-38% as of mid-August 2026. Trader consensus in the 37.5-38.4 range reflects this stability, driven by persistent public reaction to U.S. military involvement in Iran, including concerns over costs and casualties, alongside domestic pressures from gas prices and broader economic sentiment. Limited movement in recent surveys and the short window until August 21 have kept probabilities concentrated, as new data releases or shifts in foreign policy developments could still adjust the final reading within the narrow bands.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$1,349Data de Término
21 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with aggregates from sources such as The New York Times and Economist/YouGov showing figures near 37-38% as of mid-August 2026. Trader consensus in the 37.5-38.4 range reflects this stability, driven by persistent public reaction to U.S. military involvement in Iran, including concerns over costs and casualties, alongside domestic pressures from gas prices and broader economic sentiment. Limited movement in recent surveys and the short window until August 21 have kept probabilities concentrated, as new data releases or shifts in foreign policy developments could still adjust the final reading within the narrow bands.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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