Trump's approval rating has declined steadily through 2025 and into 2026, recently reaching new second-term lows of 33-35% in multiple August polls amid disapproval levels of 61-64%. The ongoing U.S. military involvement with Iran, including resumed strikes in mid-July, coincides with this slide and draws low marks on foreign policy and war handling. Economic concerns, particularly inflation, cost of living, and rising gas prices tied to the conflict, further weigh on ratings, with approval on those issues near 30%. Erosion has occurred even among some Republican-leaning respondents, though partisan divides remain wide. With the 2026 midterms approaching, traders are evaluating whether sustained pressures could push ratings lower before year-end or whether stabilization is possible.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$120,872 Vol.
30 dez 2026
35%
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6%
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$120,872 Vol.
35%
$80,805 Vol.
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$13,252 Vol.
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$4,096 Vol.
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$3,217 Vol.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump's approval rating has declined steadily through 2025 and into 2026, recently reaching new second-term lows of 33-35% in multiple August polls amid disapproval levels of 61-64%. The ongoing U.S. military involvement with Iran, including resumed strikes in mid-July, coincides with this slide and draws low marks on foreign policy and war handling. Economic concerns, particularly inflation, cost of living, and rising gas prices tied to the conflict, further weigh on ratings, with approval on those issues near 30%. Erosion has occurred even among some Republican-leaning respondents, though partisan divides remain wide. With the 2026 midterms approaching, traders are evaluating whether sustained pressures could push ratings lower before year-end or whether stabilization is possible.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volume
$120,872Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump's approval rating has declined steadily through 2025 and into 2026, recently reaching new second-term lows of 33-35% in multiple August polls amid disapproval levels of 61-64%. The ongoing U.S. military involvement with Iran, including resumed strikes in mid-July, coincides with this slide and draws low marks on foreign policy and war handling. Economic concerns, particularly inflation, cost of living, and rising gas prices tied to the conflict, further weigh on ratings, with approval on those issues near 30%. Erosion has occurred even among some Republican-leaning respondents, though partisan divides remain wide. With the 2026 midterms approaching, traders are evaluating whether sustained pressures could push ratings lower before year-end or whether stabilization is possible.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volume
$120,872Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's approval rating has declined steadily through 2025 and into 2026, recently reaching new second-term lows of 33-35% in multiple August polls amid disapproval levels of 61-64%. The ongoing U.S. military involvement with Iran, including resumed strikes in mid-July, coincides with this slide and draws low marks on foreign policy and war handling. Economic concerns, particularly inflation, cost of living, and rising gas prices tied to the conflict, further weigh on ratings, with approval on those issues near 30%. Erosion has occurred even among some Republican-leaning respondents, though partisan divides remain wide. With the 2026 midterms approaching, traders are evaluating whether sustained pressures could push ratings lower before year-end or whether stabilization is possible.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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