Elon Musk's steady posting cadence on X over the past three days has anchored trader consensus around the 90-114 range, with his typical mix of replies, quotes, and original commentary on Tesla FSD, Grok features, and political topics keeping daily volume near 45 posts. Trackers show roughly 89 tweets logged through midday August 22, placing the period on track for the frontrunner bucket without an extreme late surge or sudden quiet period. Historical short-window patterns and the absence of major breaking events that usually trigger posting spikes reinforce the market's near-certain pricing. An upset into higher brackets would require a sustained flurry of activity through the final hours, while a sharp drop-off could push the total below 90.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado90-114 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
$1,030,071 Vol.
$1,030,071 Vol.
22 ago 2026
<40
Não
40-64
Não
65-89
Não
90-114
Sim
115-139
Não
140-164
Não
165-189
Não
190-214
Não
215-239
Não
240+
Não
90-114 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
$1,030,071 Vol.
$1,030,071 Vol.
22 ago 2026
<40
$86,250 Vol.
Não
40-64
$95,869 Vol.
Não
65-89
$186,085 Vol.
Não
90-114
$139,873 Vol.
Sim
115-139
$258,901 Vol.
Não
140-164
$150,215 Vol.
Não
165-189
$64,248 Vol.
Não
190-214
$15,704 Vol.
Não
215-239
$14,122 Vol.
Não
240+
$18,803 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's steady posting cadence on X over the past three days has anchored trader consensus around the 90-114 range, with his typical mix of replies, quotes, and original commentary on Tesla FSD, Grok features, and political topics keeping daily volume near 45 posts. Trackers show roughly 89 tweets logged through midday August 22, placing the period on track for the frontrunner bucket without an extreme late surge or sudden quiet period. Historical short-window patterns and the absence of major breaking events that usually trigger posting spikes reinforce the market's near-certain pricing. An upset into higher brackets would require a sustained flurry of activity through the final hours, while a sharp drop-off could push the total below 90.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$1,030,071Data de Término
22 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's steady posting cadence on X over the past three days has anchored trader consensus around the 90-114 range, with his typical mix of replies, quotes, and original commentary on Tesla FSD, Grok features, and political topics keeping daily volume near 45 posts. Trackers show roughly 89 tweets logged through midday August 22, placing the period on track for the frontrunner bucket without an extreme late surge or sudden quiet period. Historical short-window patterns and the absence of major breaking events that usually trigger posting spikes reinforce the market's near-certain pricing. An upset into higher brackets would require a sustained flurry of activity through the final hours, while a sharp drop-off could push the total below 90.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,030,071Data de Término
22 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Elon Musk's steady posting cadence on X over the past three days has anchored trader consensus around the 90-114 range, with his typical mix of replies, quotes, and original commentary on Tesla FSD, Grok features, and political topics keeping daily volume near 45 posts. Trackers show roughly 89 tweets logged through midday August 22, placing the period on track for the frontrunner bucket without an extreme late surge or sudden quiet period. Historical short-window patterns and the absence of major breaking events that usually trigger posting spikes reinforce the market's near-certain pricing. An upset into higher brackets would require a sustained flurry of activity through the final hours, while a sharp drop-off could push the total below 90.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions