Elon Musk’s established posting patterns on X underpin the market’s overwhelming consensus around the 40-64 tweet range for August 27–29. Traders tracking his historical volume—typically 13–21 posts daily outside major breaking events—see the three-day total aligning closely with recent baselines, reinforced by the absence of extraordinary catalysts in the final days of the period. Real capital backing this outcome reflects the “wisdom of crowds” assessing his routine activity levels. An upset into higher brackets would require a sudden major announcement, controversy, or product launch driving sustained engagement, while significantly lower counts could only result from an extended period offline or travel that sharply curtails his usual cadence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoElon Musk # tweets 27 de agosto - 29 de agosto de 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets 27 de agosto - 29 de agosto de 2026?
40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$560,600 Vol.
$560,600 Vol.
29 ago 2026
<40
Não
40-64
Sim
65-89
Não
90-114
Não
115-139
Não
140-164
Não
165-189
Não
190-214
Não
215-239
Não
240+
Não
40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$560,600 Vol.
$560,600 Vol.
29 ago 2026
<40
$86,458 Vol.
Não
40-64
$146,405 Vol.
Sim
65-89
$165,348 Vol.
Não
90-114
$66,338 Vol.
Não
115-139
$41,956 Vol.
Não
140-164
$31,446 Vol.
Não
165-189
$8,175 Vol.
Não
190-214
$8,211 Vol.
Não
215-239
$1,879 Vol.
Não
240+
$4,384 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 27 12:00 PM ET to August 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established posting patterns on X underpin the market’s overwhelming consensus around the 40-64 tweet range for August 27–29. Traders tracking his historical volume—typically 13–21 posts daily outside major breaking events—see the three-day total aligning closely with recent baselines, reinforced by the absence of extraordinary catalysts in the final days of the period. Real capital backing this outcome reflects the “wisdom of crowds” assessing his routine activity levels. An upset into higher brackets would require a sudden major announcement, controversy, or product launch driving sustained engagement, while significantly lower counts could only result from an extended period offline or travel that sharply curtails his usual cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 27 12:00 PM ET to August 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$560,600Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 27 12:00 PM ET to August 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established posting patterns on X underpin the market’s overwhelming consensus around the 40-64 tweet range for August 27–29. Traders tracking his historical volume—typically 13–21 posts daily outside major breaking events—see the three-day total aligning closely with recent baselines, reinforced by the absence of extraordinary catalysts in the final days of the period. Real capital backing this outcome reflects the “wisdom of crowds” assessing his routine activity levels. An upset into higher brackets would require a sudden major announcement, controversy, or product launch driving sustained engagement, while significantly lower counts could only result from an extended period offline or travel that sharply curtails his usual cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 27 12:00 PM ET to August 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$560,600Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Elon Musk’s established posting patterns on X underpin the market’s overwhelming consensus around the 40-64 tweet range for August 27–29. Traders tracking his historical volume—typically 13–21 posts daily outside major breaking events—see the three-day total aligning closely with recent baselines, reinforced by the absence of extraordinary catalysts in the final days of the period. Real capital backing this outcome reflects the “wisdom of crowds” assessing his routine activity levels. An upset into higher brackets would require a sudden major announcement, controversy, or product launch driving sustained engagement, while significantly lower counts could only result from an extended period offline or travel that sharply curtails his usual cadence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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