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Política·Trump

Quantos assentos da Câmara os democratas ganharão na Pensilvânia?

icon for Quantos assentos da Câmara os democratas ganharão na Pensilvânia?
Política·Trump

Quantos assentos da Câmara os democratas ganharão na Pensilvânia?

11 37%

10 20%

9 17%

7 10%

Polymarket
NOVO

11 37%

10 20%

9 17%

7 10%

Polymarket
NOVO

<7

$262 Vol.

1%

7

$280 Vol.

10%

8

$350 Vol.

10%

9

$391 Vol.

17%

10

$694 Vol.

20%

11

$591 Vol.

37%

12+

$257 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania in the 2026 United States midterm election. All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold a 10-7 edge in Pennsylvania’s 17 congressional districts following the 2024 cycle, with four GOP seats (notably Districts 1, 7, 8, and 10) rated highly competitive after narrow 2024 margins. Trader consensus favoring 9–11 Democratic wins reflects expectations of modest Democratic gains in these swing districts during the 2026 midterms, supported by Democratic primary outcomes in May, Governor Josh Shapiro’s fundraising and endorsements targeting Republican incumbents, and typical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party. Recent campaign activity, including coordinated Democratic spending in the Cumberland Valley, Lehigh Valley, Bucks County, and Scranton areas, has reinforced positioning around this range, while safer Republican strongholds and Democratic urban seats limit upside beyond 11.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania in the 2026 United States midterm election.

All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.

Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.

Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,825
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 10:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania in the 2026 United States midterm election. All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania in the 2026 United States midterm election. All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold a 10-7 edge in Pennsylvania’s 17 congressional districts following the 2024 cycle, with four GOP seats (notably Districts 1, 7, 8, and 10) rated highly competitive after narrow 2024 margins. Trader consensus favoring 9–11 Democratic wins reflects expectations of modest Democratic gains in these swing districts during the 2026 midterms, supported by Democratic primary outcomes in May, Governor Josh Shapiro’s fundraising and endorsements targeting Republican incumbents, and typical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party. Recent campaign activity, including coordinated Democratic spending in the Cumberland Valley, Lehigh Valley, Bucks County, and Scranton areas, has reinforced positioning around this range, while safer Republican strongholds and Democratic urban seats limit upside beyond 11.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania in the 2026 United States midterm election.

All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.

Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.

Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,825
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 10:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania in the 2026 United States midterm election. All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Quantos assentos da Câmara os democratas ganharão na Pensilvânia?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "11" at 37%, followed by "10" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Quantos assentos da Câmara os democratas ganharão na Pensilvânia?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 11, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Quantos assentos da Câmara os democratas ganharão na Pensilvânia?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quantos assentos da Câmara os democratas ganharão na Pensilvânia?" is "11" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "10" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quantos assentos da Câmara os democratas ganharão na Pensilvânia?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.