President Trump’s Executive Order on May 1, 2026, imposing sanctions on Cuban officials for repression and threats to U.S. national security—while introducing secondary sanctions on foreign entities in Cuba’s energy, defense, and mining sectors—has sharply escalated tensions, reducing trader consensus on a near-term US-Cuba economic deal. This follows a January fuel blockade after Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro’s capture, intensifying Cuba’s blackouts and shortages amid the longstanding embargo. Diplomatic talks confirmed in March-April amid Havana’s crisis stalled without progress, prompting Cuban condemnation of the measures as illegal. No upcoming summits or negotiations are scheduled, leaving bilateral trade severely constrained by executive actions and congressional restrictions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAcordo económico EUA x Cuba por...?
Acordo económico EUA x Cuba por...?
$231,122 Vol.
30 jun 2026
30 de junho
44%
$231,122 Vol.
30 de junho
$95,124 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.President Trump’s Executive Order on May 1, 2026, imposing sanctions on Cuban officials for repression and threats to U.S. national security—while introducing secondary sanctions on foreign entities in Cuba’s energy, defense, and mining sectors—has sharply escalated tensions, reducing trader consensus on a near-term US-Cuba economic deal. This follows a January fuel blockade after Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro’s capture, intensifying Cuba’s blackouts and shortages amid the longstanding embargo. Diplomatic talks confirmed in March-April amid Havana’s crisis stalled without progress, prompting Cuban condemnation of the measures as illegal. No upcoming summits or negotiations are scheduled, leaving bilateral trade severely constrained by executive actions and congressional restrictions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 13, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Volume
$231,122Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 13, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.President Trump’s Executive Order on May 1, 2026, imposing sanctions on Cuban officials for repression and threats to U.S. national security—while introducing secondary sanctions on foreign entities in Cuba’s energy, defense, and mining sectors—has sharply escalated tensions, reducing trader consensus on a near-term US-Cuba economic deal. This follows a January fuel blockade after Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro’s capture, intensifying Cuba’s blackouts and shortages amid the longstanding embargo. Diplomatic talks confirmed in March-April amid Havana’s crisis stalled without progress, prompting Cuban condemnation of the measures as illegal. No upcoming summits or negotiations are scheduled, leaving bilateral trade severely constrained by executive actions and congressional restrictions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$231,122Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 13, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s Executive Order on May 1, 2026, imposing sanctions on Cuban officials for repression and threats to U.S. national security—while introducing secondary sanctions on foreign entities in Cuba’s energy, defense, and mining sectors—has sharply escalated tensions, reducing trader consensus on a near-term US-Cuba economic deal. This follows a January fuel blockade after Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro’s capture, intensifying Cuba’s blackouts and shortages amid the longstanding embargo. Diplomatic talks confirmed in March-April amid Havana’s crisis stalled without progress, prompting Cuban condemnation of the measures as illegal. No upcoming summits or negotiations are scheduled, leaving bilateral trade severely constrained by executive actions and congressional restrictions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions