US and China officials have advanced talks on reciprocal tariff reductions covering roughly $30 billion in bilateral trade, including energy, agricultural products, and manufacturing inputs, ahead of the Trump-Xi summit scheduled for September 24. These discussions build on the one-year trade truce reached in late 2025, which suspends higher duties and certain export controls through November 2026, along with the May 2026 establishment of bilateral Boards of Trade and Investment to identify further cuts. Recent statements from both sides signal progress toward implementing most-favored-nation rates on agreed items and extending the truce framework, supporting the 89.3% implied probability that a qualifying mutual tariff agreement will be announced by year-end. Scheduled follow-up meetings between Treasury Secretary Bessent and Chinese counterparts add near-term momentum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado89% chance
$252,200 Vol.
$252,200 Vol.
31 dez 2026
89% chance
$252,200 Vol.
$252,200 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.US and China officials have advanced talks on reciprocal tariff reductions covering roughly $30 billion in bilateral trade, including energy, agricultural products, and manufacturing inputs, ahead of the Trump-Xi summit scheduled for September 24. These discussions build on the one-year trade truce reached in late 2025, which suspends higher duties and certain export controls through November 2026, along with the May 2026 establishment of bilateral Boards of Trade and Investment to identify further cuts. Recent statements from both sides signal progress toward implementing most-favored-nation rates on agreed items and extending the truce framework, supporting the 89.3% implied probability that a qualifying mutual tariff agreement will be announced by year-end. Scheduled follow-up meetings between Treasury Secretary Bessent and Chinese counterparts add near-term momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Mercado Aberto: May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ET
Volume
$252,200Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.US and China officials have advanced talks on reciprocal tariff reductions covering roughly $30 billion in bilateral trade, including energy, agricultural products, and manufacturing inputs, ahead of the Trump-Xi summit scheduled for September 24. These discussions build on the one-year trade truce reached in late 2025, which suspends higher duties and certain export controls through November 2026, along with the May 2026 establishment of bilateral Boards of Trade and Investment to identify further cuts. Recent statements from both sides signal progress toward implementing most-favored-nation rates on agreed items and extending the truce framework, supporting the 89.3% implied probability that a qualifying mutual tariff agreement will be announced by year-end. Scheduled follow-up meetings between Treasury Secretary Bessent and Chinese counterparts add near-term momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$252,200Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and China officials have advanced talks on reciprocal tariff reductions covering roughly $30 billion in bilateral trade, including energy, agricultural products, and manufacturing inputs, ahead of the Trump-Xi summit scheduled for September 24. These discussions build on the one-year trade truce reached in late 2025, which suspends higher duties and certain export controls through November 2026, along with the May 2026 establishment of bilateral Boards of Trade and Investment to identify further cuts. Recent statements from both sides signal progress toward implementing most-favored-nation rates on agreed items and extending the truce framework, supporting the 89.3% implied probability that a qualifying mutual tariff agreement will be announced by year-end. Scheduled follow-up meetings between Treasury Secretary Bessent and Chinese counterparts add near-term momentum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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