Recent diplomatic engagements, including the November 2025 framework agreement and the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit in Beijing, have established mechanisms such as the U.S.-China Board of Trade and Board of Investment to address tariff levels on select goods. These steps extended suspensions of reciprocal tariff increases and certain fentanyl-related duties until November 2026, while securing Chinese commitments on agricultural purchases and critical minerals. Ongoing Section 301 processes and bilateral consultations provide structured pathways for reciprocal adjustments on approximately $30 billion in products per side. With active negotiations continuing through mid-2026 and no major escalations since the summit, trader consensus reflects expectations that further tariff stabilization measures could be formalized before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
$16,843 Vol.
$16,843 Vol.
31 dez 2026
$16,843 Vol.
$16,843 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent diplomatic engagements, including the November 2025 framework agreement and the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit in Beijing, have established mechanisms such as the U.S.-China Board of Trade and Board of Investment to address tariff levels on select goods. These steps extended suspensions of reciprocal tariff increases and certain fentanyl-related duties until November 2026, while securing Chinese commitments on agricultural purchases and critical minerals. Ongoing Section 301 processes and bilateral consultations provide structured pathways for reciprocal adjustments on approximately $30 billion in products per side. With active negotiations continuing through mid-2026 and no major escalations since the summit, trader consensus reflects expectations that further tariff stabilization measures could be formalized before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Mercado Aberto: May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ET
Volume
$16,843Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent diplomatic engagements, including the November 2025 framework agreement and the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit in Beijing, have established mechanisms such as the U.S.-China Board of Trade and Board of Investment to address tariff levels on select goods. These steps extended suspensions of reciprocal tariff increases and certain fentanyl-related duties until November 2026, while securing Chinese commitments on agricultural purchases and critical minerals. Ongoing Section 301 processes and bilateral consultations provide structured pathways for reciprocal adjustments on approximately $30 billion in products per side. With active negotiations continuing through mid-2026 and no major escalations since the summit, trader consensus reflects expectations that further tariff stabilization measures could be formalized before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$16,843Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic engagements, including the November 2025 framework agreement and the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit in Beijing, have established mechanisms such as the U.S.-China Board of Trade and Board of Investment to address tariff levels on select goods. These steps extended suspensions of reciprocal tariff increases and certain fentanyl-related duties until November 2026, while securing Chinese commitments on agricultural purchases and critical minerals. Ongoing Section 301 processes and bilateral consultations provide structured pathways for reciprocal adjustments on approximately $30 billion in products per side. With active negotiations continuing through mid-2026 and no major escalations since the summit, trader consensus reflects expectations that further tariff stabilization measures could be formalized before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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