Trader consensus prices a U.S. invasion of Colombia in 2026 at just 6.5% likelihood, reflecting de-escalation since President Trump's early-January threats of military action following the U.S. intervention in Venezuela. A February White House meeting between Trump and President Petro eased tensions over counternarcotics, migrant deportations, and Venezuela policy, with Trump calling Petro "terrific" despite prior rhetoric. No troop deployments or airstrikes have materialized amid Colombia's status as a major non-NATO ally and shared interests in combating drug trafficking. Colombia's presidential election this year could shift bilateral dynamics, but logistical barriers, domestic U.S. priorities, and diplomatic channels maintain low invasion risk absent major provocations like escalated narco-violence or border crises.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$26,294 Vol.
$26,294 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
$26,294 Vol.
$26,294 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices a U.S. invasion of Colombia in 2026 at just 6.5% likelihood, reflecting de-escalation since President Trump's early-January threats of military action following the U.S. intervention in Venezuela. A February White House meeting between Trump and President Petro eased tensions over counternarcotics, migrant deportations, and Venezuela policy, with Trump calling Petro "terrific" despite prior rhetoric. No troop deployments or airstrikes have materialized amid Colombia's status as a major non-NATO ally and shared interests in combating drug trafficking. Colombia's presidential election this year could shift bilateral dynamics, but logistical barriers, domestic U.S. priorities, and diplomatic channels maintain low invasion risk absent major provocations like escalated narco-violence or border crises.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
Volume
$26,294Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices a U.S. invasion of Colombia in 2026 at just 6.5% likelihood, reflecting de-escalation since President Trump's early-January threats of military action following the U.S. intervention in Venezuela. A February White House meeting between Trump and President Petro eased tensions over counternarcotics, migrant deportations, and Venezuela policy, with Trump calling Petro "terrific" despite prior rhetoric. No troop deployments or airstrikes have materialized amid Colombia's status as a major non-NATO ally and shared interests in combating drug trafficking. Colombia's presidential election this year could shift bilateral dynamics, but logistical barriers, domestic U.S. priorities, and diplomatic channels maintain low invasion risk absent major provocations like escalated narco-violence or border crises.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$26,294Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a U.S. invasion of Colombia in 2026 at just 6.5% likelihood, reflecting de-escalation since President Trump's early-January threats of military action following the U.S. intervention in Venezuela. A February White House meeting between Trump and President Petro eased tensions over counternarcotics, migrant deportations, and Venezuela policy, with Trump calling Petro "terrific" despite prior rhetoric. No troop deployments or airstrikes have materialized amid Colombia's status as a major non-NATO ally and shared interests in combating drug trafficking. Colombia's presidential election this year could shift bilateral dynamics, but logistical barriers, domestic U.S. priorities, and diplomatic channels maintain low invasion risk absent major provocations like escalated narco-violence or border crises.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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