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Ormuz previsões e probabilidades

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

7%

$13M Vol.

$642K today

$621K Liq.

1

Ends em 17 dias

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

<1%

$15M Vol.

$537K today

$2M Liq.

2

Ends em cerca de 24 horas

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

52%

June 30

$17M Vol.

$207K today

$315K Liq.

447

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

31%

$5M Vol.

$149K today

$365K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

76%

$100K Vol.

$51.7K today

$137K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

11%

United Kingdom

$810K Vol.

$324K Liq.

12

Ends em 17 dias

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

46%

$63.0K Vol.

$113K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

46%

20+

$374K Vol.

$45.1K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

69%

0-10

$98.5K Vol.

$116K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 11?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 11?

42%

20-39

$24.1K Vol.

$21.7K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

1%

$552K Vol.

$49.3K Liq.

39

Ends em 17 dias

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

6%

$411K Vol.

$85.6K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

80%

Iran

$560K Vol.

$440K today

$174K Liq.

33

Ends em cerca de 24 horas

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

15%

Oil Sanction Relief

$964K Vol.

$109K today

$216K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing?

What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing?

83%

Iran 5+ times

$185 Vol.

$948 Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

47%

June 30

$13M Vol.

$392K today

$265K Liq.

682

Ends em 17 dias

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

38%

May 31

$102K Vol.

$102K today

$51.7K Liq.

2

Ends em 17 dias

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

96%

$746K Vol.

$92.8K Liq.

63

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

84%

<5

$693 Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

98%

<5

$10.5K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Ormuz.

Polymarket currently hosts 119 active markets for Ormuz that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $68.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 52% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Ormuz predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.