The Oklahoma U.S. Senate race features Republican nominee Kevin Hern against the Democratic runoff winner between Jim Priest and N'Kiyla Thomas, with the contest rated solidly Republican and lacking the intensity of battleground contests. This dynamic, combined with Oklahoma's historically low voter participation rates in both primaries and generals, contributes to trader uncertainty reflected in near-even probabilities across turnout bins from under 900,000 to 1.4 million-plus. Key variables include party mobilization efforts ahead of the November 3 general election, the impact of the August 25 Democratic runoff on base enthusiasm, early and absentee voting access, and Election Day conditions. Absent major shifts in registration trends or national salience, these factors sustain the balanced market view on total ballots cast.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEleição para o Senado de Oklahoma: comparecimento às urnas
Eleição para o Senado de Oklahoma: comparecimento às urnas
900K-1M 45%
1M-1,1M 45%
<900K 44%
1,2M-1,3M 44%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
<900K
44%
900K-1M
45%
1M-1,1M
45%
1,1M-1,2M
43%
1,2M-1,3M
44%
1,3M-1,4M
44%
1,4M+
44%
900K-1M 45%
1M-1,1M 45%
<900K 44%
1,2M-1,3M 44%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
<900K
$0 Vol.
44%
900K-1M
$0 Vol.
45%
1M-1,1M
$0 Vol.
45%
1,1M-1,2M
$0 Vol.
43%
1,2M-1,3M
$0 Vol.
44%
1,3M-1,4M
$0 Vol.
44%
1,4M+
$0 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Oklahoma U.S. Senate race features Republican nominee Kevin Hern against the Democratic runoff winner between Jim Priest and N'Kiyla Thomas, with the contest rated solidly Republican and lacking the intensity of battleground contests. This dynamic, combined with Oklahoma's historically low voter participation rates in both primaries and generals, contributes to trader uncertainty reflected in near-even probabilities across turnout bins from under 900,000 to 1.4 million-plus. Key variables include party mobilization efforts ahead of the November 3 general election, the impact of the August 25 Democratic runoff on base enthusiasm, early and absentee voting access, and Election Day conditions. Absent major shifts in registration trends or national salience, these factors sustain the balanced market view on total ballots cast.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Oklahoma U.S. Senate race features Republican nominee Kevin Hern against the Democratic runoff winner between Jim Priest and N'Kiyla Thomas, with the contest rated solidly Republican and lacking the intensity of battleground contests. This dynamic, combined with Oklahoma's historically low voter participation rates in both primaries and generals, contributes to trader uncertainty reflected in near-even probabilities across turnout bins from under 900,000 to 1.4 million-plus. Key variables include party mobilization efforts ahead of the November 3 general election, the impact of the August 25 Democratic runoff on base enthusiasm, early and absentee voting access, and Election Day conditions. Absent major shifts in registration trends or national salience, these factors sustain the balanced market view on total ballots cast.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Oklahoma U.S. Senate race features Republican nominee Kevin Hern against the Democratic runoff winner between Jim Priest and N'Kiyla Thomas, with the contest rated solidly Republican and lacking the intensity of battleground contests. This dynamic, combined with Oklahoma's historically low voter participation rates in both primaries and generals, contributes to trader uncertainty reflected in near-even probabilities across turnout bins from under 900,000 to 1.4 million-plus. Key variables include party mobilization efforts ahead of the November 3 general election, the impact of the August 25 Democratic runoff on base enthusiasm, early and absentee voting access, and Election Day conditions. Absent major shifts in registration trends or national salience, these factors sustain the balanced market view on total ballots cast.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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