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icon for Quantos gays se tornam vice-governadores nas eleições brasileiras?

Quantos gays se tornam vice-governadores nas eleições brasileiras?

icon for Quantos gays se tornam vice-governadores nas eleições brasileiras?

Quantos gays se tornam vice-governadores nas eleições brasileiras?

0 85%

1 14%

2+ 4.0%

Polymarket
NOVO

0 85%

1 14%

2+ 4.0%

Polymarket
NOVO

0

$21 Vol.

85%

1

$0 Vol.

14%

2+

$0 Vol.

4%

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of non-heterosexual candidates who win election as Vice Governor (Vice-Governador) in the specified elections. A candidate will be considered “non-heterosexual” if they declare a sexual orientation (orientação sexual) visible on the Brazilian candidature divulgence portal (Divulgação de Candidaturas e Contas Eleitorais, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/) on October 3, 2026, 12:00 PM Brasilia time, and that declared orientation is not heterosexual. This market will resolve according to sexual orientation declarations visible at the specified time. Future revisions, retractions, and withdrawals will not be considered. Candidates who abstain from declaring a sexual orientation on the candidature divulgence portal will not be considered. This market will include all candidates for the office of Vice Governor (Vice-Governador) present on the candidature divulgence portal. Candidates for any other office will not be considered. A candidate will be considered to have won if they are elected to the office they are contesting, regardless of how many candidates may be elected to the same position. A candidate’s sexual self-description, rumors, and behavior outside of the candidature divulgence portal will not be considered. The gender identity of the relevant candidates will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results and information as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).The market's leading outcome of zero gay vice governors reflects Brazil's conservative electoral dynamics and the scarcity of openly non-heterosexual candidates securing viable running-mate slots in the 2026 gubernatorial races. Strong evangelical voter blocs and polarized coalitions have historically sidelined such candidacies, with few high-profile announcements or guild-style endorsements elevating any contenders ahead of the October vote. Recent mapping efforts by groups tracking LGBT+ representation show limited momentum in state-level tickets, while major presidential slates feature conventional pairings without shifting public sentiment. This positions the single-win scenario as a distant secondary play, contingent on late breakthroughs in key states.

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of non-heterosexual candidates who win election as Vice Governor (Vice-Governador) in the specified elections.

A candidate will be considered “non-heterosexual” if they declare a sexual orientation (orientação sexual) visible on the Brazilian candidature divulgence portal (Divulgação de Candidaturas e Contas Eleitorais, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/) on October 3, 2026, 12:00 PM Brasilia time, and that declared orientation is not heterosexual. This market will resolve according to sexual orientation declarations visible at the specified time. Future revisions, retractions, and withdrawals will not be considered. Candidates who abstain from declaring a sexual orientation on the candidature divulgence portal will not be considered.

This market will include all candidates for the office of Vice Governor (Vice-Governador) present on the candidature divulgence portal. Candidates for any other office will not be considered. A candidate will be considered to have won if they are elected to the office they are contesting, regardless of how many candidates may be elected to the same position.

A candidate’s sexual self-description, rumors, and behavior outside of the candidature divulgence portal will not be considered.

The gender identity of the relevant candidates will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results and information as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$21
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of non-heterosexual candidates who win election as Vice Governor (Vice-Governador) in the specified elections. A candidate will be considered “non-heterosexual” if they declare a sexual orientation (orientação sexual) visible on the Brazilian candidature divulgence portal (Divulgação de Candidaturas e Contas Eleitorais, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/) on October 3, 2026, 12:00 PM Brasilia time, and that declared orientation is not heterosexual. This market will resolve according to sexual orientation declarations visible at the specified time. Future revisions, retractions, and withdrawals will not be considered. Candidates who abstain from declaring a sexual orientation on the candidature divulgence portal will not be considered. This market will include all candidates for the office of Vice Governor (Vice-Governador) present on the candidature divulgence portal. Candidates for any other office will not be considered. A candidate will be considered to have won if they are elected to the office they are contesting, regardless of how many candidates may be elected to the same position. A candidate’s sexual self-description, rumors, and behavior outside of the candidature divulgence portal will not be considered. The gender identity of the relevant candidates will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results and information as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of non-heterosexual candidates who win election as Vice Governor (Vice-Governador) in the specified elections. A candidate will be considered “non-heterosexual” if they declare a sexual orientation (orientação sexual) visible on the Brazilian candidature divulgence portal (Divulgação de Candidaturas e Contas Eleitorais, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/) on October 3, 2026, 12:00 PM Brasilia time, and that declared orientation is not heterosexual. This market will resolve according to sexual orientation declarations visible at the specified time. Future revisions, retractions, and withdrawals will not be considered. Candidates who abstain from declaring a sexual orientation on the candidature divulgence portal will not be considered. This market will include all candidates for the office of Vice Governor (Vice-Governador) present on the candidature divulgence portal. Candidates for any other office will not be considered. A candidate will be considered to have won if they are elected to the office they are contesting, regardless of how many candidates may be elected to the same position. A candidate’s sexual self-description, rumors, and behavior outside of the candidature divulgence portal will not be considered. The gender identity of the relevant candidates will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results and information as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).The market's leading outcome of zero gay vice governors reflects Brazil's conservative electoral dynamics and the scarcity of openly non-heterosexual candidates securing viable running-mate slots in the 2026 gubernatorial races. Strong evangelical voter blocs and polarized coalitions have historically sidelined such candidacies, with few high-profile announcements or guild-style endorsements elevating any contenders ahead of the October vote. Recent mapping efforts by groups tracking LGBT+ representation show limited momentum in state-level tickets, while major presidential slates feature conventional pairings without shifting public sentiment. This positions the single-win scenario as a distant secondary play, contingent on late breakthroughs in key states.

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of non-heterosexual candidates who win election as Vice Governor (Vice-Governador) in the specified elections.

A candidate will be considered “non-heterosexual” if they declare a sexual orientation (orientação sexual) visible on the Brazilian candidature divulgence portal (Divulgação de Candidaturas e Contas Eleitorais, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/) on October 3, 2026, 12:00 PM Brasilia time, and that declared orientation is not heterosexual. This market will resolve according to sexual orientation declarations visible at the specified time. Future revisions, retractions, and withdrawals will not be considered. Candidates who abstain from declaring a sexual orientation on the candidature divulgence portal will not be considered.

This market will include all candidates for the office of Vice Governor (Vice-Governador) present on the candidature divulgence portal. Candidates for any other office will not be considered. A candidate will be considered to have won if they are elected to the office they are contesting, regardless of how many candidates may be elected to the same position.

A candidate’s sexual self-description, rumors, and behavior outside of the candidature divulgence portal will not be considered.

The gender identity of the relevant candidates will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results and information as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$21
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of non-heterosexual candidates who win election as Vice Governor (Vice-Governador) in the specified elections. A candidate will be considered “non-heterosexual” if they declare a sexual orientation (orientação sexual) visible on the Brazilian candidature divulgence portal (Divulgação de Candidaturas e Contas Eleitorais, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/) on October 3, 2026, 12:00 PM Brasilia time, and that declared orientation is not heterosexual. This market will resolve according to sexual orientation declarations visible at the specified time. Future revisions, retractions, and withdrawals will not be considered. Candidates who abstain from declaring a sexual orientation on the candidature divulgence portal will not be considered. This market will include all candidates for the office of Vice Governor (Vice-Governador) present on the candidature divulgence portal. Candidates for any other office will not be considered. A candidate will be considered to have won if they are elected to the office they are contesting, regardless of how many candidates may be elected to the same position. A candidate’s sexual self-description, rumors, and behavior outside of the candidature divulgence portal will not be considered. The gender identity of the relevant candidates will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results and information as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quantos gays se tornam vice-governadores nas eleições brasileiras?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "0" at 85%, followed by "1" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Quantos gays se tornam vice-governadores nas eleições brasileiras?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Quantos gays se tornam vice-governadores nas eleições brasileiras?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quantos gays se tornam vice-governadores nas eleições brasileiras?" is "0" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quantos gays se tornam vice-governadores nas eleições brasileiras?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.