Flávio Bolsonaro holds overwhelming trader consensus for first place in Acre’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, reflecting the state’s entrenched conservative electorate and consistent support for Liberal Party candidates focused on security and economic priorities. Jair Bolsonaro’s prior strong showings in the region have transferred to his son’s candidacy, which the party formalized in July 2026 with Alfredo Gaspar as running mate. Recent national polling shows a competitive overall race, yet local dynamics favor consolidation behind the PL standard-bearer. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected national events, a surge by another right-leaning contender drawing votes, or late polling movements within the roughly seven-week window before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoFlavio Bolsonaro 96.5%
Lula 2.0%
Edmilson Costa 1.9%
Clariana Barao <1%

Flavio Bolsonaro
97%

Lula
2%

Edmilson Costa
2%

Clariana Barao
1%

Pablo Marçal
1%

Renan Santos
1%

Ronaldo Caiado
1%

Rui Costa Pimenta
1%

Samara
1%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%

Zema
<1%

Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%

Hertz Dias
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 96.5%
Lula 2.0%
Edmilson Costa 1.9%
Clariana Barao <1%

Flavio Bolsonaro
97%

Lula
2%

Edmilson Costa
2%

Clariana Barao
1%

Pablo Marçal
1%

Renan Santos
1%

Ronaldo Caiado
1%

Rui Costa Pimenta
1%

Samara
1%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%

Zema
<1%

Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%

Hertz Dias
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro holds overwhelming trader consensus for first place in Acre’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, reflecting the state’s entrenched conservative electorate and consistent support for Liberal Party candidates focused on security and economic priorities. Jair Bolsonaro’s prior strong showings in the region have transferred to his son’s candidacy, which the party formalized in July 2026 with Alfredo Gaspar as running mate. Recent national polling shows a competitive overall race, yet local dynamics favor consolidation behind the PL standard-bearer. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected national events, a surge by another right-leaning contender drawing votes, or late polling movements within the roughly seven-week window before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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