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icon for O próximo Presidente da Câmara da Cidade do Cabo?

O próximo Presidente da Câmara da Cidade do Cabo?

icon for O próximo Presidente da Câmara da Cidade do Cabo?

O próximo Presidente da Câmara da Cidade do Cabo?

Geordin Hill-Lewis 31%

Khalid Sayed 16%

Cheslyn Steenberg 12%

Roger Solomons 12%

Polymarket
NOVO

Geordin Hill-Lewis 31%

Khalid Sayed 16%

Cheslyn Steenberg 12%

Roger Solomons 12%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Geordin Hill-Lewis

Geordin Hill-Lewis

$139 Vol.

48%

icon for Khalid Sayed

Khalid Sayed

$98 Vol.

16%

icon for Cheslyn Steenberg

Cheslyn Steenberg

$84 Vol.

31%

icon for Roger Solomons

Roger Solomons

$98 Vol.

11%

icon for Nontando Nolutshungu

Nontando Nolutshungu

$129 Vol.

7%

icon for Ellen Pakkies

Ellen Pakkies

$99 Vol.

6%

icon for Brett Herron

Brett Herron

$83 Vol.

6%

icon for Dereleen James

Dereleen James

$98 Vol.

9%

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Geordin Hill-Lewis, the incumbent mayor and Democratic Alliance federal leader, leads the market at 80.5% as the party's confirmed candidate for the November 4, 2026, municipal elections. The DA's long-standing control of Cape Town council, combined with Hill-Lewis's June 2026 endorsement and five-pledge platform emphasizing safety, cleanliness, housing affordability, and service delivery, anchors trader consensus on continuity in this DA stronghold. Other listed candidates, including ActionSA's Dereleen James, Brett Herron of the Good Party partnership, and several independents or smaller-party figures at 6.5–7.5%, reflect fragmented opposition with limited council prospects. The August 2026 election timetable proclamation has reinforced focus on established party machinery and voter base dynamics rather than late shifts.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$829
Data de Término
18 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Geordin Hill-Lewis, the incumbent mayor and Democratic Alliance federal leader, leads the market at 80.5% as the party's confirmed candidate for the November 4, 2026, municipal elections. The DA's long-standing control of Cape Town council, combined with Hill-Lewis's June 2026 endorsement and five-pledge platform emphasizing safety, cleanliness, housing affordability, and service delivery, anchors trader consensus on continuity in this DA stronghold. Other listed candidates, including ActionSA's Dereleen James, Brett Herron of the Good Party partnership, and several independents or smaller-party figures at 6.5–7.5%, reflect fragmented opposition with limited council prospects. The August 2026 election timetable proclamation has reinforced focus on established party machinery and voter base dynamics rather than late shifts.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$829
Data de Término
18 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"O próximo Presidente da Câmara da Cidade do Cabo?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Geordin Hill-Lewis" at 48%, followed by "Cheslyn Steenberg" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"O próximo Presidente da Câmara da Cidade do Cabo?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "O próximo Presidente da Câmara da Cidade do Cabo?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "O próximo Presidente da Câmara da Cidade do Cabo?" is "Geordin Hill-Lewis" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cheslyn Steenberg" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "O próximo Presidente da Câmara da Cidade do Cabo?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.