Tennessee's 9th congressional district underwent major redistricting in May 2026 that shifted its partisan balance to a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9, extending the boundaries into Republican-leaning Nashville suburbs and reflecting a 21-point Trump margin from the prior presidential election. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen opted not to seek reelection in the altered map, converting the seat to an open contest. Primaries held August 6 produced state Sen. Brent Taylor as the Republican nominee and state Rep. Justin Pearson as the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the November 3 general election Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with the district's structural tilt and limited crossover potential despite Pearson's fundraising. Trader consensus at 83.5% for Republicans reflects these factors with no major developments altering positioning in recent weeks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa TN-09
Vencedor da eleição da casa TN-09
$33,175 Vol.
$33,175 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
84%
Partido Democrata
16%
$33,175 Vol.
$33,175 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$19,961 Vol.
84%
Partido Democrata
$13,214 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 9th congressional district underwent major redistricting in May 2026 that shifted its partisan balance to a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9, extending the boundaries into Republican-leaning Nashville suburbs and reflecting a 21-point Trump margin from the prior presidential election. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen opted not to seek reelection in the altered map, converting the seat to an open contest. Primaries held August 6 produced state Sen. Brent Taylor as the Republican nominee and state Rep. Justin Pearson as the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the November 3 general election Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with the district's structural tilt and limited crossover potential despite Pearson's fundraising. Trader consensus at 83.5% for Republicans reflects these factors with no major developments altering positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$33,175Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 9th congressional district underwent major redistricting in May 2026 that shifted its partisan balance to a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9, extending the boundaries into Republican-leaning Nashville suburbs and reflecting a 21-point Trump margin from the prior presidential election. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen opted not to seek reelection in the altered map, converting the seat to an open contest. Primaries held August 6 produced state Sen. Brent Taylor as the Republican nominee and state Rep. Justin Pearson as the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the November 3 general election Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with the district's structural tilt and limited crossover potential despite Pearson's fundraising. Trader consensus at 83.5% for Republicans reflects these factors with no major developments altering positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,175Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 9th congressional district underwent major redistricting in May 2026 that shifted its partisan balance to a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9, extending the boundaries into Republican-leaning Nashville suburbs and reflecting a 21-point Trump margin from the prior presidential election. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen opted not to seek reelection in the altered map, converting the seat to an open contest. Primaries held August 6 produced state Sen. Brent Taylor as the Republican nominee and state Rep. Justin Pearson as the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the November 3 general election Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with the district's structural tilt and limited crossover potential despite Pearson's fundraising. Trader consensus at 83.5% for Republicans reflects these factors with no major developments altering positioning in recent weeks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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