The tightly clustered probabilities around 41–44.5% across turnout bins reflect trader uncertainty over 2026 midterm participation in a race where Democratic incumbent Mark Warner faces Republican Bert Mizusawa in a contest rated Solid Democrat by major forecasters. Historical Virginia midterm totals have varied significantly with national conditions, early voting access, and party mobilization, while recent primary results and April redistricting referendum data show uneven enthusiasm that has not yet produced a clear general-election signal. Factors such as post-2024 economic sentiment, campaign outreach intensity, and voter registration trends could shift totals in either direction before November 3, sustaining the balanced market view until clearer indicators emerge.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEleição para o Senado da Virgínia: comparecimento
Eleição para o Senado da Virgínia: comparecimento
4M+ 44%
<2,5M 43%
3M-3,25M 43%
3,25M-3,5M 43%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
<2,5M
43%
2,5M-2,75M
42%
2,75M-3M
42%
3M-3,25M
43%
3,25M-3,5M
43%
3,5M-3,75M
43%
3,75M-4M
43%
4M+
44%
4M+ 44%
<2,5M 43%
3M-3,25M 43%
3,25M-3,5M 43%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
<2,5M
$0 Vol.
43%
2,5M-2,75M
$0 Vol.
42%
2,75M-3M
$0 Vol.
42%
3M-3,25M
$0 Vol.
43%
3,25M-3,5M
$0 Vol.
43%
3,5M-3,75M
$0 Vol.
43%
3,75M-4M
$0 Vol.
43%
4M+
$0 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tightly clustered probabilities around 41–44.5% across turnout bins reflect trader uncertainty over 2026 midterm participation in a race where Democratic incumbent Mark Warner faces Republican Bert Mizusawa in a contest rated Solid Democrat by major forecasters. Historical Virginia midterm totals have varied significantly with national conditions, early voting access, and party mobilization, while recent primary results and April redistricting referendum data show uneven enthusiasm that has not yet produced a clear general-election signal. Factors such as post-2024 economic sentiment, campaign outreach intensity, and voter registration trends could shift totals in either direction before November 3, sustaining the balanced market view until clearer indicators emerge.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tightly clustered probabilities around 41–44.5% across turnout bins reflect trader uncertainty over 2026 midterm participation in a race where Democratic incumbent Mark Warner faces Republican Bert Mizusawa in a contest rated Solid Democrat by major forecasters. Historical Virginia midterm totals have varied significantly with national conditions, early voting access, and party mobilization, while recent primary results and April redistricting referendum data show uneven enthusiasm that has not yet produced a clear general-election signal. Factors such as post-2024 economic sentiment, campaign outreach intensity, and voter registration trends could shift totals in either direction before November 3, sustaining the balanced market view until clearer indicators emerge.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tightly clustered probabilities around 41–44.5% across turnout bins reflect trader uncertainty over 2026 midterm participation in a race where Democratic incumbent Mark Warner faces Republican Bert Mizusawa in a contest rated Solid Democrat by major forecasters. Historical Virginia midterm totals have varied significantly with national conditions, early voting access, and party mobilization, while recent primary results and April redistricting referendum data show uneven enthusiasm that has not yet produced a clear general-election signal. Factors such as post-2024 economic sentiment, campaign outreach intensity, and voter registration trends could shift totals in either direction before November 3, sustaining the balanced market view until clearer indicators emerge.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
O total de votos na eleição de meio de mandato de 2026 para Senador da Virgínia Ocidental será inferior a 400.000?
45%
Sim
O total de votos na eleição intermediária de 2026 para senador da Flórida será entre 7.750.000 e 8.000.000?
42%
Sim
O total de votos na eleição de meio de mandato de 2026 para senador da Carolina do Norte ficará entre 3.700.000 e 3.900.000?
45%
Sim
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