Claudia Tenney’s commanding position in the NY-24 House race stems primarily from the district’s established Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters ahead of the November general election. As the three-term incumbent, Tenney faced no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman, an Army veteran and former VA employee who won her June primary, confronts structural headwinds in a district that delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns for similar seats. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected national economic or political developments, significant campaign finance changes, or late-breaking controversies affecting either candidate before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Deputados do NY-24
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Deputados do NY-24
$20,577 Vol.
$20,577 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Claudia Tenney (R)
93%
Alissa Ellman (D)
9%
$20,577 Vol.
$20,577 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Claudia Tenney (R)
$10,938 Vol.
93%
Alissa Ellman (D)
$9,639 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Claudia Tenney’s commanding position in the NY-24 House race stems primarily from the district’s established Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters ahead of the November general election. As the three-term incumbent, Tenney faced no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman, an Army veteran and former VA employee who won her June primary, confronts structural headwinds in a district that delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns for similar seats. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected national economic or political developments, significant campaign finance changes, or late-breaking controversies affecting either candidate before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$20,577Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Claudia Tenney’s commanding position in the NY-24 House race stems primarily from the district’s established Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters ahead of the November general election. As the three-term incumbent, Tenney faced no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman, an Army veteran and former VA employee who won her June primary, confronts structural headwinds in a district that delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns for similar seats. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected national economic or political developments, significant campaign finance changes, or late-breaking controversies affecting either candidate before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$20,577Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Claudia Tenney’s commanding position in the NY-24 House race stems primarily from the district’s established Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters ahead of the November general election. As the three-term incumbent, Tenney faced no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman, an Army veteran and former VA employee who won her June primary, confronts structural headwinds in a district that delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns for similar seats. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected national economic or political developments, significant campaign finance changes, or late-breaking controversies affecting either candidate before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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