Skip to main content

Para negociar nos EUA, acesse polymarket.us

icon for Eleições Parlamentares na Bósnia e Herzegovina: 3º Lugar
Mundo·Eleição Principal

Eleições Parlamentares na Bósnia e Herzegovina: 3º Lugar

icon for Eleições Parlamentares na Bósnia e Herzegovina: 3º Lugar
Mundo·Eleição Principal

Eleições Parlamentares na Bósnia e Herzegovina: 3º Lugar

SDP BiH 37%

SNSD 31%

HDZ BiH 12%

NiP 8%

Polymarket
NOVO

SDP BiH 37%

SNSD 31%

HDZ BiH 12%

NiP 8%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for SDP BiH

SDP BiH

$496 Vol.

37%

icon for SNSD

SNSD

$485 Vol.

42%

icon for HDZ BiH

HDZ BiH

$75 Vol.

14%

icon for NiP

NiP

$99 Vol.

8%

icon for SDA

SDA

$635 Vol.

5%

icon for DF

DF

$124 Vol.

13%

icon for SDS

SDS

$235 Vol.

1%

General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).The fragmented multi-party system and ethnic-based voting in Bosnia and Herzegovina keep multiple parties competitive for third place in the October 4 parliamentary election for the state House of Representatives. Proportional representation across constituencies, combined with entity-level dynamics in the Federation and Republika Srpska, sustains close positioning among SNSD, SDP BiH, DF, and others. Recent campaign fines for premature activity and resource misuse, alongside polarized rhetoric following the Ratko Mladic funeral, have added volatility without clear separation. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no dominant contender emerging in the final weeks. Scheduled results and potential coalition signals post-election could still shift implied probabilities for third-place finishers.

General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
Volume
$2,150
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 6:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).The fragmented multi-party system and ethnic-based voting in Bosnia and Herzegovina keep multiple parties competitive for third place in the October 4 parliamentary election for the state House of Representatives. Proportional representation across constituencies, combined with entity-level dynamics in the Federation and Republika Srpska, sustains close positioning among SNSD, SDP BiH, DF, and others. Recent campaign fines for premature activity and resource misuse, alongside polarized rhetoric following the Ratko Mladic funeral, have added volatility without clear separation. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no dominant contender emerging in the final weeks. Scheduled results and potential coalition signals post-election could still shift implied probabilities for third-place finishers.

General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
Volume
$2,150
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 6:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Relacionado

icon for O SNSD conquistará o segundo maior número de cadeiras nas eleições gerais da Bósnia em 2026?

O SNSD conquistará o segundo maior número de cadeiras nas eleições gerais da Bósnia em 2026?

71%
Sim
icon for A SDA ganhará o maior número de assentos nas eleições gerais da Bósnia em 2026?

A SDA ganhará o maior número de assentos nas eleições gerais da Bósnia em 2026?

78%
Sim
icon for Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?

Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?

54%

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleições Parlamentares na Bósnia e Herzegovina: 3º Lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "SNSD" at 42%, followed by "SDP BiH" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eleições Parlamentares na Bósnia e Herzegovina: 3º Lugar" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eleições Parlamentares na Bósnia e Herzegovina: 3º Lugar," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleições Parlamentares na Bósnia e Herzegovina: 3º Lugar" is "SNSD" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "SDP BiH" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleições Parlamentares na Bósnia e Herzegovina: 3º Lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.