**Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections feature a fragmented contest for third place in the 395-seat House of Representatives, with trader prices reflecting uncertainty among Istiqlal (PI), the ruling RNI-PAM coalition partners, and smaller parties.** Recent reporting shows RNI and PAM running neck-and-neck for the most seats, leaving Istiqlal—historically strong in rural areas and territorial networks—well placed for third under most seat projections of roughly 68-78 mandates. PJD’s attempted rebound from its 2021 collapse (13 seats) and USFP’s urban-left positioning introduce volatility, while low expected turnout and coalition tensions over economic grievances keep outcomes fluid. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing captures this tight dynamic ahead of final results from the Interior Ministry.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPI 48%
RNI 27%
USFP 13.4%
PJD 8.6%
$41,580 Vol.
$41,580 Vol.

PI
48%

RNI
27%

USFP
13%

PJD
9%

PAM
1%

UC
<1%

MP
<1%

PPS
<1%
PI 48%
RNI 27%
USFP 13.4%
PJD 8.6%
$41,580 Vol.
$41,580 Vol.

PI
48%

RNI
27%

USFP
13%

PJD
9%

PAM
1%

UC
<1%

MP
<1%

PPS
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections feature a fragmented contest for third place in the 395-seat House of Representatives, with trader prices reflecting uncertainty among Istiqlal (PI), the ruling RNI-PAM coalition partners, and smaller parties.** Recent reporting shows RNI and PAM running neck-and-neck for the most seats, leaving Istiqlal—historically strong in rural areas and territorial networks—well placed for third under most seat projections of roughly 68-78 mandates. PJD’s attempted rebound from its 2021 collapse (13 seats) and USFP’s urban-left positioning introduce volatility, while low expected turnout and coalition tensions over economic grievances keep outcomes fluid. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing captures this tight dynamic ahead of final results from the Interior Ministry.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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