Russia's September 2026 State Duma election shows trader consensus clustered tightly around 50-56% turnout, reflecting historical benchmarks of 47.8% in 2016 and 51.7% in 2021 alongside stable April polling that places United Russia ahead with abstention intentions at 7-13%. Recent expansion of remote electronic voting to nearly half the regions offers easier access that could lift participation, yet this is offset by persistent war fatigue, modest declines in presidential approval to around 79%, and broader economic pressures encouraging disengagement. With no major political or policy shifts in the past 30 days, the narrow spreads persist because administrative mobilization efforts and any pre-election economic measures remain the key variables that could push outcomes higher or reinforce lower engagement seen in prior cycles.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
53-56% 37.6%
50-53% 35%
62%+ 29%
<47% 26%
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
<47%
24%
47-50%
25%
50-53%
35%
53-56%
38%
56-59%
24%
59-62%
27%
62%+
38%
53-56% 37.6%
50-53% 35%
62%+ 29%
<47% 26%
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
<47%
$175 Vol.
24%
47-50%
$67 Vol.
25%
50-53%
$67 Vol.
35%
53-56%
$73 Vol.
38%
56-59%
$59 Vol.
24%
59-62%
$60 Vol.
27%
62%+
$62 Vol.
38%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia's September 2026 State Duma election shows trader consensus clustered tightly around 50-56% turnout, reflecting historical benchmarks of 47.8% in 2016 and 51.7% in 2021 alongside stable April polling that places United Russia ahead with abstention intentions at 7-13%. Recent expansion of remote electronic voting to nearly half the regions offers easier access that could lift participation, yet this is offset by persistent war fatigue, modest declines in presidential approval to around 79%, and broader economic pressures encouraging disengagement. With no major political or policy shifts in the past 30 days, the narrow spreads persist because administrative mobilization efforts and any pre-election economic measures remain the key variables that could push outcomes higher or reinforce lower engagement seen in prior cycles.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Volume
$564Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia's September 2026 State Duma election shows trader consensus clustered tightly around 50-56% turnout, reflecting historical benchmarks of 47.8% in 2016 and 51.7% in 2021 alongside stable April polling that places United Russia ahead with abstention intentions at 7-13%. Recent expansion of remote electronic voting to nearly half the regions offers easier access that could lift participation, yet this is offset by persistent war fatigue, modest declines in presidential approval to around 79%, and broader economic pressures encouraging disengagement. With no major political or policy shifts in the past 30 days, the narrow spreads persist because administrative mobilization efforts and any pre-election economic measures remain the key variables that could push outcomes higher or reinforce lower engagement seen in prior cycles.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volume
$564Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Russia's September 2026 State Duma election shows trader consensus clustered tightly around 50-56% turnout, reflecting historical benchmarks of 47.8% in 2016 and 51.7% in 2021 alongside stable April polling that places United Russia ahead with abstention intentions at 7-13%. Recent expansion of remote electronic voting to nearly half the regions offers easier access that could lift participation, yet this is offset by persistent war fatigue, modest declines in presidential approval to around 79%, and broader economic pressures encouraging disengagement. With no major political or policy shifts in the past 30 days, the narrow spreads persist because administrative mobilization efforts and any pre-election economic measures remain the key variables that could push outcomes higher or reinforce lower engagement seen in prior cycles.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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