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icon for Kaduna, Vencedor da eleição para governador da Nigéria

Kaduna, Vencedor da eleição para governador da Nigéria

icon for Kaduna, Vencedor da eleição para governador da Nigéria

Kaduna, Vencedor da eleição para governador da Nigéria

Uba Sani 23%

Mohammed Ashiru Isa 23%

Shehu Bawa 23%

Danjuma Laah 23%

Polymarket
NOVO

Uba Sani 23%

Mohammed Ashiru Isa 23%

Shehu Bawa 23%

Danjuma Laah 23%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Uba Sani

Uba Sani

$0 Vol.

23%

icon for Mohammed Ashiru Isa

Mohammed Ashiru Isa

$0 Vol.

23%

icon for Shehu Bawa

Shehu Bawa

$0 Vol.

23%

icon for Danjuma Laah

Danjuma Laah

$0 Vol.

23%

icon for Auwal Tafoki

Auwal Tafoki

$0 Vol.

23%

icon for Aminu Abdulfatah

Aminu Abdulfatah

$0 Vol.

23%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kaduna State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Kaduna State's 2027 governorship race remains competitive as major parties finalize tickets and running mates ahead of the February polls. Incumbent APC Governor Uba Sani secured his party's nomination through overwhelming delegate affirmation and selected Jerry Adams as deputy to restore a Muslim-Christian balance on the ticket, addressing longstanding inclusion concerns in the diverse state. The PDP recently concluded its primary with Usman Bawa Shehu (ABG) emerging as nominee, while the ADC's Isa Ashiru has begun campaign council formation. Other parties including the NDC, LP, and PRP have advanced aspirants such as Danjuma Laah, Auwal Tafoki, and Aminu Abdulfatah. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty driven by Kaduna's ethnic and religious dynamics, security challenges like banditry, and the absence of consolidated polling, with outcomes likely to shift based on campaign momentum, primary unity, and voter mobilization in key senatorial zones.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kaduna State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$0
Data de Término
6 fev 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kaduna State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kaduna State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Kaduna State's 2027 governorship race remains competitive as major parties finalize tickets and running mates ahead of the February polls. Incumbent APC Governor Uba Sani secured his party's nomination through overwhelming delegate affirmation and selected Jerry Adams as deputy to restore a Muslim-Christian balance on the ticket, addressing longstanding inclusion concerns in the diverse state. The PDP recently concluded its primary with Usman Bawa Shehu (ABG) emerging as nominee, while the ADC's Isa Ashiru has begun campaign council formation. Other parties including the NDC, LP, and PRP have advanced aspirants such as Danjuma Laah, Auwal Tafoki, and Aminu Abdulfatah. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty driven by Kaduna's ethnic and religious dynamics, security challenges like banditry, and the absence of consolidated polling, with outcomes likely to shift based on campaign momentum, primary unity, and voter mobilization in key senatorial zones.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kaduna State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$0
Data de Término
6 fev 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kaduna State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Kaduna, Vencedor da eleição para governador da Nigéria" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Uba Sani" at 23%, followed by "Mohammed Ashiru Isa" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Kaduna, Vencedor da eleição para governador da Nigéria" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Kaduna, Vencedor da eleição para governador da Nigéria," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kaduna, Vencedor da eleição para governador da Nigéria" is "Uba Sani" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mohammed Ashiru Isa" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kaduna, Vencedor da eleição para governador da Nigéria" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.