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icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador de Oyo, Nigéria

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Oyo, Nigéria

icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador de Oyo, Nigéria

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Oyo, Nigéria

Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli 43%

Hazeem Gbolarumi 43%

Gbemileke Alagbe 43%

Taofeek Adegoke 43%

Polymarket
NOVO

Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli 43%

Hazeem Gbolarumi 43%

Gbemileke Alagbe 43%

Taofeek Adegoke 43%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli

Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Hazeem Gbolarumi

Hazeem Gbolarumi

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Gbemileke Alagbe

Gbemileke Alagbe

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Taofeek Adegoke

Taofeek Adegoke

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Abimbola Adekanmbi

Abimbola Adekanmbi

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Oriyomi Hamzat

Oriyomi Hamzat

$0 Vol.

24%

icon for Yusuf Akim Adebola

Yusuf Akim Adebola

$0 Vol.

24%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Oyo State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.The 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election remains highly fragmented early in the cycle, with trader consensus reflected in tightly clustered odds across more than two dozen declared and potential candidates from APC, APM, ADC, Accord, and other parties. Recent APC primaries and candidate unveilings for Sharafadeen Alli and Hazeem Gbolarumi, alongside nominations for Abimbola Adekanmbi, Gbemileke Alagbe, Oriyomi Hamzat, and others, have not produced a dominant frontrunner, as outgoing Governor Seyi Makinde focuses on his presidential bid. This multi-candidate field, combined with ongoing party negotiations and limited statewide polling, sustains the even probabilities. Further separation could emerge from national party endorsements, resolved internal primaries, or shifts in voter coalitions ahead of the March 2027 vote.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Oyo State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$0
Data de Término
6 fev 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Oyo State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Oyo State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.The 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election remains highly fragmented early in the cycle, with trader consensus reflected in tightly clustered odds across more than two dozen declared and potential candidates from APC, APM, ADC, Accord, and other parties. Recent APC primaries and candidate unveilings for Sharafadeen Alli and Hazeem Gbolarumi, alongside nominations for Abimbola Adekanmbi, Gbemileke Alagbe, Oriyomi Hamzat, and others, have not produced a dominant frontrunner, as outgoing Governor Seyi Makinde focuses on his presidential bid. This multi-candidate field, combined with ongoing party negotiations and limited statewide polling, sustains the even probabilities. Further separation could emerge from national party endorsements, resolved internal primaries, or shifts in voter coalitions ahead of the March 2027 vote.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Oyo State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$0
Data de Término
6 fev 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Oyo State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador de Oyo, Nigéria" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli" at 43%, followed by "Hazeem Gbolarumi" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição para governador de Oyo, Nigéria" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Oyo, Nigéria," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Oyo, Nigéria" is "Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Hazeem Gbolarumi" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Oyo, Nigéria" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.