Skip to main content
icon for Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

icon for Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Sweden Democrats (SD) 53%

Moderate Party (M) 31%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 5.7%

Liberals (L) 4.3%

Polymarket
NOVO

Sweden Democrats (SD) 53%

Moderate Party (M) 31%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 5.7%

Liberals (L) 4.3%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$423 Vol.

6%

icon for Sweden Democrats (SD)

Sweden Democrats (SD)

$668 Vol.

53%

icon for Moderate Party (M)

Moderate Party (M)

$248 Vol.

31%

icon for Centre Party (C)

Centre Party (C)

$513 Vol.

1%

icon for Left Party (V)

Left Party (V)

$401 Vol.

1%

icon for Christian Democrats (KD)

Christian Democrats (KD)

$453 Vol.

1%

icon for Green Party (MP)

Green Party (MP)

$461 Vol.

2%

icon for Liberals (L)

Liberals (L)

$498 Vol.

4%

icon for Citizens' Coalition (MED)

Citizens' Coalition (MED)

$516 Vol.

1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election features a stable polling pattern that underpins trader positioning on second place. Recent surveys, including the May SCB poll, show the Social Democrats leading overall at roughly 32-34%, with the Sweden Democrats at 18-20% and the Moderate Party at 17-19%. This consistent gap has kept SD favored over M as the most probable runner-up. The centre-left opposition bloc holds a clear lead, driven by voter concerns over crime, the economy, and integration, while the incumbent Tidö government bloc trails. No major polling shifts or late-breaking events in the past month have altered the SD-M contest, though ongoing campaign focus on security and fiscal policy could still influence final margins.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$4,182
Data de Término
13 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election features a stable polling pattern that underpins trader positioning on second place. Recent surveys, including the May SCB poll, show the Social Democrats leading overall at roughly 32-34%, with the Sweden Democrats at 18-20% and the Moderate Party at 17-19%. This consistent gap has kept SD favored over M as the most probable runner-up. The centre-left opposition bloc holds a clear lead, driven by voter concerns over crime, the economy, and integration, while the incumbent Tidö government bloc trails. No major polling shifts or late-breaking events in the past month have altered the SD-M contest, though ongoing campaign focus on security and fiscal policy could still influence final margins.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$4,182
Data de Término
13 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sweden Democrats (SD)" at 53%, followed by "Moderate Party (M)" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place" is "Sweden Democrats (SD)" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Moderate Party (M)" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.