Recent polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 32 percent, while the Sweden Democrats hold steady in second place at roughly 20 percent—well ahead of the Moderates near 17 percent. This consistent ordering across multiple surveys through July has reinforced trader expectations that SD will again finish second, as it did in 2022. The governing right-wing bloc’s overall deficit and limited recent movement in party preferences have kept alternative scenarios for second place, such as a Moderate surge, priced low. With the campaign entering its final weeks, the absence of major polling volatility or late shifts continues to anchor the current market consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSweden Democrats (SD) 85%
Moderate Party (M) 15%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 1.9%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$30,217 Vol.
$30,217 Vol.
13 set 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
85%
Moderate Party (M)
15%
Centre Party (C)
<1%
Left Party (V)
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%
Green Party (MP)
<1%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 85%
Moderate Party (M) 15%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 1.9%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$30,217 Vol.
$30,217 Vol.
13 set 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$2,603 Vol.
2%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$10,244 Vol.
85%
Moderate Party (M)
$5,985 Vol.
15%
Centre Party (C)
$2,173 Vol.
<1%
Left Party (V)
$2,226 Vol.
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$1,803 Vol.
<1%
Green Party (MP)
$1,781 Vol.
<1%
Liberals (L)
$1,713 Vol.
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$1,689 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 32 percent, while the Sweden Democrats hold steady in second place at roughly 20 percent—well ahead of the Moderates near 17 percent. This consistent ordering across multiple surveys through July has reinforced trader expectations that SD will again finish second, as it did in 2022. The governing right-wing bloc’s overall deficit and limited recent movement in party preferences have kept alternative scenarios for second place, such as a Moderate surge, priced low. With the campaign entering its final weeks, the absence of major polling volatility or late shifts continues to anchor the current market consensus.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercado Aberto: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Volume
$30,217Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 32 percent, while the Sweden Democrats hold steady in second place at roughly 20 percent—well ahead of the Moderates near 17 percent. This consistent ordering across multiple surveys through July has reinforced trader expectations that SD will again finish second, as it did in 2022. The governing right-wing bloc’s overall deficit and limited recent movement in party preferences have kept alternative scenarios for second place, such as a Moderate surge, priced low. With the campaign entering its final weeks, the absence of major polling volatility or late shifts continues to anchor the current market consensus.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$30,217Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 32 percent, while the Sweden Democrats hold steady in second place at roughly 20 percent—well ahead of the Moderates near 17 percent. This consistent ordering across multiple surveys through July has reinforced trader expectations that SD will again finish second, as it did in 2022. The governing right-wing bloc’s overall deficit and limited recent movement in party preferences have kept alternative scenarios for second place, such as a Moderate surge, priced low. With the campaign entering its final weeks, the absence of major polling volatility or late shifts continues to anchor the current market consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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