Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election features a stable polling pattern that underpins trader positioning on second place. Recent surveys, including the May SCB poll, show the Social Democrats leading overall at roughly 32-34%, with the Sweden Democrats at 18-20% and the Moderate Party at 17-19%. This consistent gap has kept SD favored over M as the most probable runner-up. The centre-left opposition bloc holds a clear lead, driven by voter concerns over crime, the economy, and integration, while the incumbent Tidö government bloc trails. No major polling shifts or late-breaking events in the past month have altered the SD-M contest, though ongoing campaign focus on security and fiscal policy could still influence final margins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSweden Democrats (SD) 53%
Moderate Party (M) 31%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 5.7%
Liberals (L) 4.3%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
6%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
53%

Moderate Party (M)
31%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
1%

Green Party (MP)
2%

Liberals (L)
4%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 53%
Moderate Party (M) 31%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 5.7%
Liberals (L) 4.3%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
6%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
53%

Moderate Party (M)
31%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
1%

Green Party (MP)
2%

Liberals (L)
4%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercado Aberto: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election features a stable polling pattern that underpins trader positioning on second place. Recent surveys, including the May SCB poll, show the Social Democrats leading overall at roughly 32-34%, with the Sweden Democrats at 18-20% and the Moderate Party at 17-19%. This consistent gap has kept SD favored over M as the most probable runner-up. The centre-left opposition bloc holds a clear lead, driven by voter concerns over crime, the economy, and integration, while the incumbent Tidö government bloc trails. No major polling shifts or late-breaking events in the past month have altered the SD-M contest, though ongoing campaign focus on security and fiscal policy could still influence final margins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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