The Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) secured the largest share of seats in the September 14, 2026, parliamentary election, topping party-list voting with 35.54% and adding strong district results across multiple provinces to reach roughly 31 total seats. This outcome stems from its rapid organization under interim Chief Minister Abdulraof Macacua, broad local executive support, and effective mobilization in key areas like Maguindanao del Norte and Cotabato City. Rival United Bangsamoro Justice Party trailed closely at around 30 seats, producing a hung parliament where 41 votes are required for a majority. Traders assign BFP overwhelming odds because official proclamations confirm its lead in both proportional and district contests, though coalition negotiations with smaller parties such as the BARMM Grand Coalition remain necessary to elect the next chief minister by the October 30 transition deadline. Late shifts in alliances or unresolved disputes could still alter the final government formation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoBFP 100.0%
BGC <1%
ABOT <1%
BAPA <1%
$94,226 Vol.
$94,226 Vol.
14 set 2026
ABOT
Não
BAPA
Não
BEST PARTY
Não
BFP
Sim
BGC
Não
ISAMA
Não
MAHARDIKA
Não
MORO AKO
Não
MUSHAWARA
Não
PBB
Não
PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY
Não
RAAYAT DEMOCRATIC PARTY
Não
UBJP
Não
C4P
Não
TPWC
Não
LBIAA
Não
RSEU
Não
THE ROYALS
Não
ROHOSUMA
Não
ROHOSUPA
Não
RSL
Não
ISLPI
Não
DTLO
Não
Eleição Adiada/Cancelada
Não
BFP 100.0%
BGC <1%
ABOT <1%
BAPA <1%
$94,226 Vol.
$94,226 Vol.
14 set 2026
ABOT
$671 Vol.
Não
BAPA
$796 Vol.
Não
BEST PARTY
$804 Vol.
Não
BFP
$16,055 Vol.
Sim
BGC
$3,053 Vol.
Não
ISAMA
$662 Vol.
Não
MAHARDIKA
$707 Vol.
Não
MORO AKO
$662 Vol.
Não
MUSHAWARA
$701 Vol.
Não
PBB
$596 Vol.
Não
PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY
$1,006 Vol.
Não
RAAYAT DEMOCRATIC PARTY
$637 Vol.
Não
UBJP
$57,994 Vol.
Não
C4P
$800 Vol.
Não
TPWC
$621 Vol.
Não
LBIAA
$1,208 Vol.
Não
RSEU
$808 Vol.
Não
THE ROYALS
$627 Vol.
Não
ROHOSUMA
$1,184 Vol.
Não
ROHOSUPA
$662 Vol.
Não
RSL
$632 Vol.
Não
ISLPI
$708 Vol.
Não
DTLO
$1,038 Vol.
Não
Eleição Adiada/Cancelada
$1,591 Vol.
Não
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).The Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) secured the largest share of seats in the September 14, 2026, parliamentary election, topping party-list voting with 35.54% and adding strong district results across multiple provinces to reach roughly 31 total seats. This outcome stems from its rapid organization under interim Chief Minister Abdulraof Macacua, broad local executive support, and effective mobilization in key areas like Maguindanao del Norte and Cotabato City. Rival United Bangsamoro Justice Party trailed closely at around 30 seats, producing a hung parliament where 41 votes are required for a majority. Traders assign BFP overwhelming odds because official proclamations confirm its lead in both proportional and district contests, though coalition negotiations with smaller parties such as the BARMM Grand Coalition remain necessary to elect the next chief minister by the October 30 transition deadline. Late shifts in alliances or unresolved disputes could still alter the final government formation.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Mercado Aberto: Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ET
Volume
$94,226Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).The Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) secured the largest share of seats in the September 14, 2026, parliamentary election, topping party-list voting with 35.54% and adding strong district results across multiple provinces to reach roughly 31 total seats. This outcome stems from its rapid organization under interim Chief Minister Abdulraof Macacua, broad local executive support, and effective mobilization in key areas like Maguindanao del Norte and Cotabato City. Rival United Bangsamoro Justice Party trailed closely at around 30 seats, producing a hung parliament where 41 votes are required for a majority. Traders assign BFP overwhelming odds because official proclamations confirm its lead in both proportional and district contests, though coalition negotiations with smaller parties such as the BARMM Grand Coalition remain necessary to elect the next chief minister by the October 30 transition deadline. Late shifts in alliances or unresolved disputes could still alter the final government formation.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Volume
$94,226Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) secured the largest share of seats in the September 14, 2026, parliamentary election, topping party-list voting with 35.54% and adding strong district results across multiple provinces to reach roughly 31 total seats. This outcome stems from its rapid organization under interim Chief Minister Abdulraof Macacua, broad local executive support, and effective mobilization in key areas like Maguindanao del Norte and Cotabato City. Rival United Bangsamoro Justice Party trailed closely at around 30 seats, producing a hung parliament where 41 votes are required for a majority. Traders assign BFP overwhelming odds because official proclamations confirm its lead in both proportional and district contests, though coalition negotiations with smaller parties such as the BARMM Grand Coalition remain necessary to elect the next chief minister by the October 30 transition deadline. Late shifts in alliances or unresolved disputes could still alter the final government formation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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