Recent Swedish opinion polls show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 33%, followed by the Sweden Democrats and Moderates clustered around 18-20% in a tight race for second and third. This positioning drives trader consensus favoring the Moderate Party for third place, as modest fluctuations in bloc support or turnout could easily shift the order between the two right-leaning parties. Smaller parties including the Greens, Left, and Centre remain well behind at single-digit levels, reducing their prospects absent major late swings. With the September 13 election approaching, ongoing debates over immigration, gang violence, and economic policy continue to shape voter intentions without yet producing decisive shifts in the mid-tier rankings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Moderate Party (M) 55%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 37%
Green Party (MP) 2.0%
Left Party (V) 1.7%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
37%

Moderate Party (M)
55%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
2%

Christian Democrats (KD)
1%

Green Party (MP)
2%

Liberals (L)
1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
Moderate Party (M) 55%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 37%
Green Party (MP) 2.0%
Left Party (V) 1.7%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
37%

Moderate Party (M)
55%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
2%

Christian Democrats (KD)
1%

Green Party (MP)
2%

Liberals (L)
1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercado Aberto: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Swedish opinion polls show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 33%, followed by the Sweden Democrats and Moderates clustered around 18-20% in a tight race for second and third. This positioning drives trader consensus favoring the Moderate Party for third place, as modest fluctuations in bloc support or turnout could easily shift the order between the two right-leaning parties. Smaller parties including the Greens, Left, and Centre remain well behind at single-digit levels, reducing their prospects absent major late swings. With the September 13 election approaching, ongoing debates over immigration, gang violence, and economic policy continue to shape voter intentions without yet producing decisive shifts in the mid-tier rankings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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