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Política·Coligação

Os partidos Tidö ganharão a maioria nas eleições parlamentares suecas de 2026?

icon for Os partidos Tidö ganharão a maioria nas eleições parlamentares suecas de 2026?
Política·Coligação

Os partidos Tidö ganharão a maioria nas eleições parlamentares suecas de 2026?

Sim

11% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

11% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections. Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag). This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls show Sweden’s centre-left Red-Green bloc holding a consistent lead of 8–12 points over the Tidö parties (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals and Sweden Democrats), with the opposition near 53–55 % and the governing bloc near 42–45 %. Statistics Sweden’s June survey and subsequent Novus and other trackers through July confirm this gap, anchored by Social Democrats polling above 30 %. With the September 13 election one month away and no major intervening shocks, traders view a Tidö parliamentary majority as improbable under current bloc arithmetic and voter trends.

In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$5,312
Data de Término
14 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections. Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag). This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections. Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag). This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls show Sweden’s centre-left Red-Green bloc holding a consistent lead of 8–12 points over the Tidö parties (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals and Sweden Democrats), with the opposition near 53–55 % and the governing bloc near 42–45 %. Statistics Sweden’s June survey and subsequent Novus and other trackers through July confirm this gap, anchored by Social Democrats polling above 30 %. With the September 13 election one month away and no major intervening shocks, traders view a Tidö parliamentary majority as improbable under current bloc arithmetic and voter trends.

In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$5,312
Data de Término
14 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections. Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag). This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Os partidos Tidö ganharão a maioria nas eleições parlamentares suecas de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "As partes do Tidö vão conquistar a maioria nas eleições parlamentares suecas de 2026?" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 11¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Os partidos Tidö ganharão a maioria nas eleições parlamentares suecas de 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

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The current frontrunner for "Os partidos Tidö ganharão a maioria nas eleições parlamentares suecas de 2026?" is "As partes do Tidö vão conquistar a maioria nas eleições parlamentares suecas de 2026?" at 11%, meaning the market assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Os partidos Tidö ganharão a maioria nas eleições parlamentares suecas de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.