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Política·Primárias

Primária republicana especial do Senado da Carolina do Sul: segundo lugar na primeira rodada

icon for Primária republicana especial do Senado da Carolina do Sul: segundo lugar na primeira rodada
Política·Primárias

Primária republicana especial do Senado da Carolina do Sul: segundo lugar na primeira rodada

Ralph Norman 39%

Darline Graham Nordone 29%

Russell Fry 13%

Pamela Evette 9.4%

Polymarket
NOVO

Ralph Norman 39%

Darline Graham Nordone 29%

Russell Fry 13%

Pamela Evette 9.4%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Ralph Norman

Ralph Norman

$794 Vol.

39%

icon for Darline Graham Nordone

Darline Graham Nordone

$80 Vol.

29%

icon for Russell Fry

Russell Fry

$133 Vol.

13%

icon for Pamela Evette

Pamela Evette

$90 Vol.

9%

icon for Mark Sanford

Mark Sanford

$40 Vol.

9%

icon for Mark Lynch

Mark Lynch

$60 Vol.

7%

icon for Duke Buckner

Duke Buckner

$479 Vol.

4%

icon for Trey Gowdy

Trey Gowdy

$173 Vol.

4%

icon for Henry McMaster

Henry McMaster

$149 Vol.

2%

icon for Sheri Biggs

Sheri Biggs

$200 Vol.

6%

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. A crowded field of Republican candidates in South Carolina's special Senate primary, set for August 11 following the vacancy, has kept second-place positioning tightly contested among multiple contenders. Recent candidate filings and the compressed timeline have fragmented support, with no dominant polling leader emerging to consolidate votes ahead of the first round. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, as endorsements from state party figures, congressional colleagues, and potential debate performances could shift momentum and clarify rankings. Historical patterns in open-seat primaries show late surges or withdrawals often determine lower placements, and any new polling averages or official announcements in the coming days may create clearer separation before ballots are cast.

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$2,196
Data de Término
11 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 3:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. A crowded field of Republican candidates in South Carolina's special Senate primary, set for August 11 following the vacancy, has kept second-place positioning tightly contested among multiple contenders. Recent candidate filings and the compressed timeline have fragmented support, with no dominant polling leader emerging to consolidate votes ahead of the first round. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, as endorsements from state party figures, congressional colleagues, and potential debate performances could shift momentum and clarify rankings. Historical patterns in open-seat primaries show late surges or withdrawals often determine lower placements, and any new polling averages or official announcements in the coming days may create clearer separation before ballots are cast.

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$2,196
Data de Término
11 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 3:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Primária republicana especial do Senado da Carolina do Sul: segundo lugar na primeira rodada" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ralph Norman" at 39%, followed by "Darline Graham Nordone" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Primária republicana especial do Senado da Carolina do Sul: segundo lugar na primeira rodada" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Primária republicana especial do Senado da Carolina do Sul: segundo lugar na primeira rodada," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Primária republicana especial do Senado da Carolina do Sul: segundo lugar na primeira rodada" is "Ralph Norman" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Darline Graham Nordone" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Primária republicana especial do Senado da Carolina do Sul: segundo lugar na primeira rodada" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.