Recent polling trends place Die Linke near or at the top with roughly 20-22% support in Berlin, driven by voter emphasis on housing costs, social services, and urban policy ahead of the September 20, 2026, state election. The fragmented field—with CDU, AfD, and Greens clustered between 17-20%—creates volatility in seat projections for the 147-member Landtag, where proportional allocation, direct mandates, and turnout patterns among left-leaning voters can shift outcomes by several seats. Linke's gains since mid-2025 reflect sustained momentum on progressive priorities, yet coalition arithmetic and competition for similar voter blocs keep the 25-39 seat range tightly contested among traders. Late-campaign events, turnout differentials, or shifts in AfD or SPD support could widen the distribution before election night.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado20-24 34%
30-34 32%
25-29 32%
40+ 14%
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
<20
9%
20-24
34%
25-29
32%
30-34
32%
35-39
37%
40+
14%
20-24 34%
30-34 32%
25-29 32%
40+ 14%
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
<20
$119 Vol.
9%
20-24
$81 Vol.
34%
25-29
$0 Vol.
32%
30-34
$0 Vol.
32%
35-39
$38 Vol.
37%
40+
$45 Vol.
14%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling trends place Die Linke near or at the top with roughly 20-22% support in Berlin, driven by voter emphasis on housing costs, social services, and urban policy ahead of the September 20, 2026, state election. The fragmented field—with CDU, AfD, and Greens clustered between 17-20%—creates volatility in seat projections for the 147-member Landtag, where proportional allocation, direct mandates, and turnout patterns among left-leaning voters can shift outcomes by several seats. Linke's gains since mid-2025 reflect sustained momentum on progressive priorities, yet coalition arithmetic and competition for similar voter blocs keep the 25-39 seat range tightly contested among traders. Late-campaign events, turnout differentials, or shifts in AfD or SPD support could widen the distribution before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$283Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling trends place Die Linke near or at the top with roughly 20-22% support in Berlin, driven by voter emphasis on housing costs, social services, and urban policy ahead of the September 20, 2026, state election. The fragmented field—with CDU, AfD, and Greens clustered between 17-20%—creates volatility in seat projections for the 147-member Landtag, where proportional allocation, direct mandates, and turnout patterns among left-leaning voters can shift outcomes by several seats. Linke's gains since mid-2025 reflect sustained momentum on progressive priorities, yet coalition arithmetic and competition for similar voter blocs keep the 25-39 seat range tightly contested among traders. Late-campaign events, turnout differentials, or shifts in AfD or SPD support could widen the distribution before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Volume
$283Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends place Die Linke near or at the top with roughly 20-22% support in Berlin, driven by voter emphasis on housing costs, social services, and urban policy ahead of the September 20, 2026, state election. The fragmented field—with CDU, AfD, and Greens clustered between 17-20%—creates volatility in seat projections for the 147-member Landtag, where proportional allocation, direct mandates, and turnout patterns among left-leaning voters can shift outcomes by several seats. Linke's gains since mid-2025 reflect sustained momentum on progressive priorities, yet coalition arithmetic and competition for similar voter blocs keep the 25-39 seat range tightly contested among traders. Late-campaign events, turnout differentials, or shifts in AfD or SPD support could widen the distribution before election night.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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