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icon for Ongo Niua 17 Vencedor por Eleição
Mundo·Tonga

Ongo Niua 17 Vencedor por Eleição

icon for Ongo Niua 17 Vencedor por Eleição
Mundo·Tonga

Ongo Niua 17 Vencedor por Eleição

Sione Tuifio Hui 47%

Sitiveni Selui 45%

'Aisake Hoatatau Finau 44%

Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana 39%

Polymarket
NOVO

Sione Tuifio Hui 47%

Sitiveni Selui 45%

'Aisake Hoatatau Finau 44%

Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana 39%

Polymarket
NOVO

Sione Tuifio Hui

$0 Vol.

47%

Sitiveni Selui

$0 Vol.

45%

'Aisake Hoatatau Finau

$0 Vol.

44%

Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana

$0 Vol.

39%

Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala

$0 Vol.

35%

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The Ongo Niua 17 by-election, scheduled for 8 October 2026, stems from the Supreme Court’s invalidation of the 2025 result on bribery grounds. Five candidates—‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau, Sitiveni Selui, Paea ‘i Vaha Filimoehala, Sione Tuifio Hui, and ‘Aminiasi Tonga Pau’u Tangimana—registered after nominations closed in early September, each drawing support from distinct villages across the small, remote constituency. Trader consensus remains tightly clustered near even odds because the electorate is limited in size, candidates run as independents without party structures to consolidate votes, and no single contender has yet established a decisive edge through public campaigning or endorsements. Factors that could widen gaps include village-level mobilization, any late candidate withdrawals or alliances, official confirmation of the final electoral roll, or developments in the parallel Tongatapu 2 by-election that influence broader perceptions of electoral integrity ahead of polling day.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
8 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The Ongo Niua 17 by-election, scheduled for 8 October 2026, stems from the Supreme Court’s invalidation of the 2025 result on bribery grounds. Five candidates—‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau, Sitiveni Selui, Paea ‘i Vaha Filimoehala, Sione Tuifio Hui, and ‘Aminiasi Tonga Pau’u Tangimana—registered after nominations closed in early September, each drawing support from distinct villages across the small, remote constituency. Trader consensus remains tightly clustered near even odds because the electorate is limited in size, candidates run as independents without party structures to consolidate votes, and no single contender has yet established a decisive edge through public campaigning or endorsements. Factors that could widen gaps include village-level mobilization, any late candidate withdrawals or alliances, official confirmation of the final electoral roll, or developments in the parallel Tongatapu 2 by-election that influence broader perceptions of electoral integrity ahead of polling day.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
8 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Ongo Niua 17 Vencedor por Eleição" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sione Tuifio Hui" at 47%, followed by "Sitiveni Selui" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Ongo Niua 17 Vencedor por Eleição" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Ongo Niua 17 Vencedor por Eleição," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Ongo Niua 17 Vencedor por Eleição" is "Sione Tuifio Hui" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sitiveni Selui" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Ongo Niua 17 Vencedor por Eleição" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.