Redistricting approved by Florida lawmakers and signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in May 2026 produced a new map that shifted Florida's 25th Congressional District toward a Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index. Incumbent Representative Jared Moskowitz (D), previously representing the neighboring 23rd district, is seeking the nomination in the August 18 Democratic primary against challenger Oliver Larkin, with recent polls showing a statistical tie. The general election on November 3 favors the eventual Democratic nominee in a seat rated Solid D or toss-up by analysts. Republican candidates face structural challenges in the reconfigured district, where midterm dynamics and the absence of a strong GOP incumbent further support the current market pricing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa FL-25
Vencedor da eleição da casa FL-25
$21,923 Vol.
$21,923 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
74%
Partido Republicano
24%
$21,923 Vol.
$21,923 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$6,587 Vol.
74%
Partido Republicano
$15,335 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by Florida lawmakers and signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in May 2026 produced a new map that shifted Florida's 25th Congressional District toward a Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index. Incumbent Representative Jared Moskowitz (D), previously representing the neighboring 23rd district, is seeking the nomination in the August 18 Democratic primary against challenger Oliver Larkin, with recent polls showing a statistical tie. The general election on November 3 favors the eventual Democratic nominee in a seat rated Solid D or toss-up by analysts. Republican candidates face structural challenges in the reconfigured district, where midterm dynamics and the absence of a strong GOP incumbent further support the current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$21,923Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by Florida lawmakers and signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in May 2026 produced a new map that shifted Florida's 25th Congressional District toward a Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index. Incumbent Representative Jared Moskowitz (D), previously representing the neighboring 23rd district, is seeking the nomination in the August 18 Democratic primary against challenger Oliver Larkin, with recent polls showing a statistical tie. The general election on November 3 favors the eventual Democratic nominee in a seat rated Solid D or toss-up by analysts. Republican candidates face structural challenges in the reconfigured district, where midterm dynamics and the absence of a strong GOP incumbent further support the current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,923Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting approved by Florida lawmakers and signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in May 2026 produced a new map that shifted Florida's 25th Congressional District toward a Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index. Incumbent Representative Jared Moskowitz (D), previously representing the neighboring 23rd district, is seeking the nomination in the August 18 Democratic primary against challenger Oliver Larkin, with recent polls showing a statistical tie. The general election on November 3 favors the eventual Democratic nominee in a seat rated Solid D or toss-up by analysts. Republican candidates face structural challenges in the reconfigured district, where midterm dynamics and the absence of a strong GOP incumbent further support the current market pricing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions