Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride holds a commanding lead in Delaware’s at-large House race, backed by the state’s consistent Democratic voting patterns and her 2024 general-election margin exceeding 15 points. All major forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the September 15 primaries and November 3 general election. Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with limited fundraising or statewide name recognition. The wide market gap reflects traders’ assessment of structural advantages including incumbency, Delaware’s partisan lean, and the absence of competitive opposition. A major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical base rates and current ratings indicate such shifts remain unlikely within the resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoDE-AL House Election Winner
DE-AL House Election Winner
$14,521 Vol.
$14,521 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$14,521 Vol.
$14,521 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$5,250 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$9,272 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride holds a commanding lead in Delaware’s at-large House race, backed by the state’s consistent Democratic voting patterns and her 2024 general-election margin exceeding 15 points. All major forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the September 15 primaries and November 3 general election. Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with limited fundraising or statewide name recognition. The wide market gap reflects traders’ assessment of structural advantages including incumbency, Delaware’s partisan lean, and the absence of competitive opposition. A major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical base rates and current ratings indicate such shifts remain unlikely within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$14,521Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride holds a commanding lead in Delaware’s at-large House race, backed by the state’s consistent Democratic voting patterns and her 2024 general-election margin exceeding 15 points. All major forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the September 15 primaries and November 3 general election. Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with limited fundraising or statewide name recognition. The wide market gap reflects traders’ assessment of structural advantages including incumbency, Delaware’s partisan lean, and the absence of competitive opposition. A major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical base rates and current ratings indicate such shifts remain unlikely within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,521Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride holds a commanding lead in Delaware’s at-large House race, backed by the state’s consistent Democratic voting patterns and her 2024 general-election margin exceeding 15 points. All major forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the September 15 primaries and November 3 general election. Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with limited fundraising or statewide name recognition. The wide market gap reflects traders’ assessment of structural advantages including incumbency, Delaware’s partisan lean, and the absence of competitive opposition. A major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical base rates and current ratings indicate such shifts remain unlikely within the resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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