With the 2026 midterms roughly four months away, trader consensus on Republican Senate and House seat totals remains tightly clustered across multiple outcome ranges because no single party holds a decisive edge in current polling or structural factors. The president's party historically faces headwinds in midterm cycles, yet outcomes hinge on variables including economic indicators, voter turnout in key battlegrounds, candidate recruitment and primary results, and national sentiment on issues such as immigration, trade policy, and federal spending. Upcoming Senate and House primaries, special election results, and any legislative action on appropriations or continuing resolutions could shift momentum, while late-cycle events like candidate withdrawals or major policy announcements retain potential to alter seat projections before November voting concludes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado≥53 e 208–222 41%
≤46 e ≤192 41%
≥53 e ≤207 39.3%
47–49 e 193–207 34%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
≥53 e ≥223
27%
≥53 e 208–222
41%
≥53 e ≤207
39%
50–52 e ≥223
26%
50–52 e 208–222
20%
50–52 e 193–207
19%
50–52 e ≤192
30%
47–49 e ≥208
14%
47–49 e 193–207
34%
47–49 e ≤192
32%
≤46 e ≥208
30%
≤46 e 193–207
15%
≤46 e ≤192
41%
≥53 e 208–222 41%
≤46 e ≤192 41%
≥53 e ≤207 39.3%
47–49 e 193–207 34%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
≥53 e ≥223
$47 Vol.
27%
≥53 e 208–222
$48 Vol.
41%
≥53 e ≤207
$55 Vol.
39%
50–52 e ≥223
$44 Vol.
26%
50–52 e 208–222
$52 Vol.
20%
50–52 e 193–207
$46 Vol.
19%
50–52 e ≤192
$46 Vol.
30%
47–49 e ≥208
$38 Vol.
14%
47–49 e 193–207
$46 Vol.
34%
47–49 e ≤192
$46 Vol.
32%
≤46 e ≥208
$44 Vol.
30%
≤46 e 193–207
$52 Vol.
15%
≤46 e ≤192
$25 Vol.
41%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in both the US House of Representatives and the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
The number of House seats held by the Republican Party will be determined based upon the results of all US House of Representatives elections for voting members, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
The number of Senate seats held by the Republican party based on both the composition of seats that are not up for election and the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
With the 2026 midterms roughly four months away, trader consensus on Republican Senate and House seat totals remains tightly clustered across multiple outcome ranges because no single party holds a decisive edge in current polling or structural factors. The president's party historically faces headwinds in midterm cycles, yet outcomes hinge on variables including economic indicators, voter turnout in key battlegrounds, candidate recruitment and primary results, and national sentiment on issues such as immigration, trade policy, and federal spending. Upcoming Senate and House primaries, special election results, and any legislative action on appropriations or continuing resolutions could shift momentum, while late-cycle events like candidate withdrawals or major policy announcements retain potential to alter seat projections before November voting concludes.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in both the US House of Representatives and the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
The number of House seats held by the Republican Party will be determined based upon the results of all US House of Representatives elections for voting members, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
The number of Senate seats held by the Republican party based on both the composition of seats that are not up for election and the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in both the US House of Representatives and the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
The number of House seats held by the Republican Party will be determined based upon the results of all US House of Representatives elections for voting members, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
The number of Senate seats held by the Republican party based on both the composition of seats that are not up for election and the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 25, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Volume
$586Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 25, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in both the US House of Representatives and the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
The number of House seats held by the Republican Party will be determined based upon the results of all US House of Representatives elections for voting members, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
The number of Senate seats held by the Republican party based on both the composition of seats that are not up for election and the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
With the 2026 midterms roughly four months away, trader consensus on Republican Senate and House seat totals remains tightly clustered across multiple outcome ranges because no single party holds a decisive edge in current polling or structural factors. The president's party historically faces headwinds in midterm cycles, yet outcomes hinge on variables including economic indicators, voter turnout in key battlegrounds, candidate recruitment and primary results, and national sentiment on issues such as immigration, trade policy, and federal spending. Upcoming Senate and House primaries, special election results, and any legislative action on appropriations or continuing resolutions could shift momentum, while late-cycle events like candidate withdrawals or major policy announcements retain potential to alter seat projections before November voting concludes.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in both the US House of Representatives and the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
The number of House seats held by the Republican Party will be determined based upon the results of all US House of Representatives elections for voting members, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
The number of Senate seats held by the Republican party based on both the composition of seats that are not up for election and the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in both the US House of Representatives and the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
The number of House seats held by the Republican Party will be determined based upon the results of all US House of Representatives elections for voting members, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
The number of Senate seats held by the Republican party based on both the composition of seats that are not up for election and the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$586Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 25, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With the 2026 midterms roughly four months away, trader consensus on Republican Senate and House seat totals remains tightly clustered across multiple outcome ranges because no single party holds a decisive edge in current polling or structural factors. The president's party historically faces headwinds in midterm cycles, yet outcomes hinge on variables including economic indicators, voter turnout in key battlegrounds, candidate recruitment and primary results, and national sentiment on issues such as immigration, trade policy, and federal spending. Upcoming Senate and House primaries, special election results, and any legislative action on appropriations or continuing resolutions could shift momentum, while late-cycle events like candidate withdrawals or major policy announcements retain potential to alter seat projections before November voting concludes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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