Mid-decade redistricting has accelerated ahead of the 2026 House elections, with eight states enacting new congressional maps through legislative action or court orders. Republican-led efforts began in Texas in 2025 following presidential urging, prompting Democratic counter-redistricting in California and subsequent changes in Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, and Utah. A Supreme Court ruling limiting race-based districting under the Voting Rights Act cleared the way for additional adjustments in Southern states, including Tennessee’s recent split of its Memphis district and Louisiana’s May 2026 Senate-passed revision. Ongoing litigation in Alabama and Louisiana, plus Virginia’s May court reversal of a Democratic map, leaves those states uncertain, while primaries already underway in several jurisdictions may force schedule shifts if final maps are delayed. These developments have shaped trader assessments of which states will ultimately field candidates under revised district lines.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$255,512 Vol.
3 nov 2026
California
97%
Texas
95%
North Carolina
97%
Ohio
94%
Utah
87%
Florida
63%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
87%
Virginia
10%
Alabama
83%
South Carolina
85%
Georgia
12%
Kansas
8%
New Jersey
6%
Indiana
6%
Washington
8%
Nebraska
7%
Illinois
2%
Minnesota
3%
New York
13%
Maryland
13%
Wisconsin
13%
$255,512 Vol.
California
$12,000 Vol.
97%
Texas
$3,503 Vol.
95%
North Carolina
$8,686 Vol.
97%
Ohio
$5,770 Vol.
94%
Utah
$59,277 Vol.
87%
Florida
$1,177 Vol.
63%
Louisiana
$15,525 Vol.
93%
Missouri
$3,904 Vol.
87%
Virginia
$6,816 Vol.
10%
Alabama
$14,726 Vol.
83%
South Carolina
$21,789 Vol.
85%
Georgia
$1,945 Vol.
12%
Kansas
$5,162 Vol.
8%
New Jersey
$5,044 Vol.
6%
Indiana
$28,282 Vol.
6%
Washington
$5,135 Vol.
8%
Nebraska
$6,500 Vol.
7%
Illinois
$9,819 Vol.
2%
Minnesota
$9,398 Vol.
3%
New York
$8,026 Vol.
13%
Maryland
$7,815 Vol.
13%
Wisconsin
$15,213 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Mid-decade redistricting has accelerated ahead of the 2026 House elections, with eight states enacting new congressional maps through legislative action or court orders. Republican-led efforts began in Texas in 2025 following presidential urging, prompting Democratic counter-redistricting in California and subsequent changes in Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, and Utah. A Supreme Court ruling limiting race-based districting under the Voting Rights Act cleared the way for additional adjustments in Southern states, including Tennessee’s recent split of its Memphis district and Louisiana’s May 2026 Senate-passed revision. Ongoing litigation in Alabama and Louisiana, plus Virginia’s May court reversal of a Democratic map, leaves those states uncertain, while primaries already underway in several jurisdictions may force schedule shifts if final maps are delayed. These developments have shaped trader assessments of which states will ultimately field candidates under revised district lines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Volume
$255,512Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Mid-decade redistricting has accelerated ahead of the 2026 House elections, with eight states enacting new congressional maps through legislative action or court orders. Republican-led efforts began in Texas in 2025 following presidential urging, prompting Democratic counter-redistricting in California and subsequent changes in Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, and Utah. A Supreme Court ruling limiting race-based districting under the Voting Rights Act cleared the way for additional adjustments in Southern states, including Tennessee’s recent split of its Memphis district and Louisiana’s May 2026 Senate-passed revision. Ongoing litigation in Alabama and Louisiana, plus Virginia’s May court reversal of a Democratic map, leaves those states uncertain, while primaries already underway in several jurisdictions may force schedule shifts if final maps are delayed. These developments have shaped trader assessments of which states will ultimately field candidates under revised district lines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$255,512Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mid-decade redistricting has accelerated ahead of the 2026 House elections, with eight states enacting new congressional maps through legislative action or court orders. Republican-led efforts began in Texas in 2025 following presidential urging, prompting Democratic counter-redistricting in California and subsequent changes in Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, and Utah. A Supreme Court ruling limiting race-based districting under the Voting Rights Act cleared the way for additional adjustments in Southern states, including Tennessee’s recent split of its Memphis district and Louisiana’s May 2026 Senate-passed revision. Ongoing litigation in Alabama and Louisiana, plus Virginia’s May court reversal of a Democratic map, leaves those states uncertain, while primaries already underway in several jurisdictions may force schedule shifts if final maps are delayed. These developments have shaped trader assessments of which states will ultimately field candidates under revised district lines.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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