Midterm House turnout expectations cluster tightly around 115-125 million votes as traders weigh Democratic engagement advantages against typical off-year patterns. Recent generic ballot polls show Democrats leading by 6-7 points with higher reported interest among their voters, while special election results indicate sustained overperformance relative to 2024 baselines. Primary turnout data through July 2026 reveals mixed state-level participation that aligns with historical midterm averages in many places yet exceeds targets in others. Redistricting changes, competitive districts, and mobilization efforts around issues such as the economy further support elevated but not record turnout. Late-cycle developments including national polling shifts or mobilization drives could separate the leading ranges before November 3.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado120-125 milhões 25%
115-120 milhões 19%
110-115 milhões 12%
125-130 milhões 12%
$22,851 Vol.
$22,851 Vol.
3 nov 2026
<85 milhões
3%
85-90 milhões
1%
90-95 milhões
2%
95-100 milhões
3%
100-105 milhões
2%
105-110 milhões
6%
110-115 milhões
12%
115-120 milhões
19%
120-125 milhões
25%
125-130 milhões
12%
130 milhões+
11%
120-125 milhões 25%
115-120 milhões 19%
110-115 milhões 12%
125-130 milhões 12%
$22,851 Vol.
$22,851 Vol.
3 nov 2026
<85 milhões
$572 Vol.
3%
85-90 milhões
$587 Vol.
1%
90-95 milhões
$1,723 Vol.
2%
95-100 milhões
$380 Vol.
3%
100-105 milhões
$971 Vol.
2%
105-110 milhões
$931 Vol.
6%
110-115 milhões
$3,828 Vol.
12%
115-120 milhões
$3,958 Vol.
19%
120-125 milhões
$7,063 Vol.
25%
125-130 milhões
$2,027 Vol.
12%
130 milhões+
$812 Vol.
11%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Midterm House turnout expectations cluster tightly around 115-125 million votes as traders weigh Democratic engagement advantages against typical off-year patterns. Recent generic ballot polls show Democrats leading by 6-7 points with higher reported interest among their voters, while special election results indicate sustained overperformance relative to 2024 baselines. Primary turnout data through July 2026 reveals mixed state-level participation that aligns with historical midterm averages in many places yet exceeds targets in others. Redistricting changes, competitive districts, and mobilization efforts around issues such as the economy further support elevated but not record turnout. Late-cycle developments including national polling shifts or mobilization drives could separate the leading ranges before November 3.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$22,851Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Midterm House turnout expectations cluster tightly around 115-125 million votes as traders weigh Democratic engagement advantages against typical off-year patterns. Recent generic ballot polls show Democrats leading by 6-7 points with higher reported interest among their voters, while special election results indicate sustained overperformance relative to 2024 baselines. Primary turnout data through July 2026 reveals mixed state-level participation that aligns with historical midterm averages in many places yet exceeds targets in others. Redistricting changes, competitive districts, and mobilization efforts around issues such as the economy further support elevated but not record turnout. Late-cycle developments including national polling shifts or mobilization drives could separate the leading ranges before November 3.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$22,851Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Midterm House turnout expectations cluster tightly around 115-125 million votes as traders weigh Democratic engagement advantages against typical off-year patterns. Recent generic ballot polls show Democrats leading by 6-7 points with higher reported interest among their voters, while special election results indicate sustained overperformance relative to 2024 baselines. Primary turnout data through July 2026 reveals mixed state-level participation that aligns with historical midterm averages in many places yet exceeds targets in others. Redistricting changes, competitive districts, and mobilization efforts around issues such as the economy further support elevated but not record turnout. Late-cycle developments including national polling shifts or mobilization drives could separate the leading ranges before November 3.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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