Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew, a former Democrat who switched parties and secured re-election in 2024 with 58 percent of the vote, faces Democratic nominee Zack Mullock in the November 2026 general election for New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district. The seat carries an R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and favored Donald Trump by 13 points in the prior presidential contest, reflecting a modest Republican tilt in South Jersey voter registration and turnout patterns. Van Drew advanced unopposed in the June 2026 Republican primary, while Mullock prevailed in a four-candidate Democratic contest, limiting early general-election momentum for challengers. Trader consensus pricing the Republican outcome near 82 percent aligns with these structural and incumbency advantages, though the three-month window before Election Day leaves room for shifts driven by national midterm dynamics or local campaign developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa NJ-02
Vencedor da eleição da casa NJ-02
$24,196 Vol.
$24,196 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
82%
Partido Democrata
14%
$24,196 Vol.
$24,196 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$12,339 Vol.
82%
Partido Democrata
$11,858 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew, a former Democrat who switched parties and secured re-election in 2024 with 58 percent of the vote, faces Democratic nominee Zack Mullock in the November 2026 general election for New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district. The seat carries an R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and favored Donald Trump by 13 points in the prior presidential contest, reflecting a modest Republican tilt in South Jersey voter registration and turnout patterns. Van Drew advanced unopposed in the June 2026 Republican primary, while Mullock prevailed in a four-candidate Democratic contest, limiting early general-election momentum for challengers. Trader consensus pricing the Republican outcome near 82 percent aligns with these structural and incumbency advantages, though the three-month window before Election Day leaves room for shifts driven by national midterm dynamics or local campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$24,196Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew, a former Democrat who switched parties and secured re-election in 2024 with 58 percent of the vote, faces Democratic nominee Zack Mullock in the November 2026 general election for New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district. The seat carries an R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and favored Donald Trump by 13 points in the prior presidential contest, reflecting a modest Republican tilt in South Jersey voter registration and turnout patterns. Van Drew advanced unopposed in the June 2026 Republican primary, while Mullock prevailed in a four-candidate Democratic contest, limiting early general-election momentum for challengers. Trader consensus pricing the Republican outcome near 82 percent aligns with these structural and incumbency advantages, though the three-month window before Election Day leaves room for shifts driven by national midterm dynamics or local campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,196Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew, a former Democrat who switched parties and secured re-election in 2024 with 58 percent of the vote, faces Democratic nominee Zack Mullock in the November 2026 general election for New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district. The seat carries an R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and favored Donald Trump by 13 points in the prior presidential contest, reflecting a modest Republican tilt in South Jersey voter registration and turnout patterns. Van Drew advanced unopposed in the June 2026 Republican primary, while Mullock prevailed in a four-candidate Democratic contest, limiting early general-election momentum for challengers. Trader consensus pricing the Republican outcome near 82 percent aligns with these structural and incumbency advantages, though the three-month window before Election Day leaves room for shifts driven by national midterm dynamics or local campaign developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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