Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew faces no primary opposition and holds a substantial fundraising edge with over $1.3 million cash on hand entering the 2026 cycle. The district’s R+5 partisan voting index and 13-point Trump margin from 2024 underpin the 69 percent Republican consensus, as rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report. A crowded Democratic primary on June 2 features candidates including Tim Alexander, Zack Mullock, Terri Reese, and Bayly Winder, none of whom has yet consolidated broad support or matching resources. Traders view the seat as structurally secure for the Republican Party absent a major national Democratic wave or an unusually strong Democratic nominee, with limited recent polling or endorsements shifting the implied probability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa NJ-02
Vencedor da eleição da casa NJ-02
$12,599 Vol.
$12,599 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
69%
Partido Democrata
26%
$12,599 Vol.
$12,599 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$6,084 Vol.
69%
Partido Democrata
$6,515 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew faces no primary opposition and holds a substantial fundraising edge with over $1.3 million cash on hand entering the 2026 cycle. The district’s R+5 partisan voting index and 13-point Trump margin from 2024 underpin the 69 percent Republican consensus, as rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report. A crowded Democratic primary on June 2 features candidates including Tim Alexander, Zack Mullock, Terri Reese, and Bayly Winder, none of whom has yet consolidated broad support or matching resources. Traders view the seat as structurally secure for the Republican Party absent a major national Democratic wave or an unusually strong Democratic nominee, with limited recent polling or endorsements shifting the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$12,599Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew faces no primary opposition and holds a substantial fundraising edge with over $1.3 million cash on hand entering the 2026 cycle. The district’s R+5 partisan voting index and 13-point Trump margin from 2024 underpin the 69 percent Republican consensus, as rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report. A crowded Democratic primary on June 2 features candidates including Tim Alexander, Zack Mullock, Terri Reese, and Bayly Winder, none of whom has yet consolidated broad support or matching resources. Traders view the seat as structurally secure for the Republican Party absent a major national Democratic wave or an unusually strong Democratic nominee, with limited recent polling or endorsements shifting the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,599Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew faces no primary opposition and holds a substantial fundraising edge with over $1.3 million cash on hand entering the 2026 cycle. The district’s R+5 partisan voting index and 13-point Trump margin from 2024 underpin the 69 percent Republican consensus, as rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report. A crowded Democratic primary on June 2 features candidates including Tim Alexander, Zack Mullock, Terri Reese, and Bayly Winder, none of whom has yet consolidated broad support or matching resources. Traders view the seat as structurally secure for the Republican Party absent a major national Democratic wave or an unusually strong Democratic nominee, with limited recent polling or endorsements shifting the implied probability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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