**Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers, long-serving chair of the House Armed Services Committee, drives trader consensus at 92% for a GOP hold in Alabama's 3rd Congressional District, a deeply red seat with strong historical Republican margins exceeding 30 points.** Recent primary filings confirm Rogers faces minimal intra-party opposition ahead of the May 19 Republican primary for unchanged districts, bolstered by his early re-election announcement and alignment with conservative priorities on defense and border security. Democrat Lee McInnis advances unopposed but enters a district where Trump carried over 70% in recent cycles. While commanding odds reflect incumbency advantages and weak Democratic turnout in safe seats, shifts could arise from a late scandal, health event, or national midterm wave flipping battlegrounds, though structural barriers remain high.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAL-03 Vencedor da eleição da casa
AL-03 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$15,867 Vol.
$15,867 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
92%
Partido Democrata
8%
$15,867 Vol.
$15,867 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$8,731 Vol.
92%
Partido Democrata
$7,136 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers, long-serving chair of the House Armed Services Committee, drives trader consensus at 92% for a GOP hold in Alabama's 3rd Congressional District, a deeply red seat with strong historical Republican margins exceeding 30 points.** Recent primary filings confirm Rogers faces minimal intra-party opposition ahead of the May 19 Republican primary for unchanged districts, bolstered by his early re-election announcement and alignment with conservative priorities on defense and border security. Democrat Lee McInnis advances unopposed but enters a district where Trump carried over 70% in recent cycles. While commanding odds reflect incumbency advantages and weak Democratic turnout in safe seats, shifts could arise from a late scandal, health event, or national midterm wave flipping battlegrounds, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$15,867Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers, long-serving chair of the House Armed Services Committee, drives trader consensus at 92% for a GOP hold in Alabama's 3rd Congressional District, a deeply red seat with strong historical Republican margins exceeding 30 points.** Recent primary filings confirm Rogers faces minimal intra-party opposition ahead of the May 19 Republican primary for unchanged districts, bolstered by his early re-election announcement and alignment with conservative priorities on defense and border security. Democrat Lee McInnis advances unopposed but enters a district where Trump carried over 70% in recent cycles. While commanding odds reflect incumbency advantages and weak Democratic turnout in safe seats, shifts could arise from a late scandal, health event, or national midterm wave flipping battlegrounds, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,867Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers, long-serving chair of the House Armed Services Committee, drives trader consensus at 92% for a GOP hold in Alabama's 3rd Congressional District, a deeply red seat with strong historical Republican margins exceeding 30 points.** Recent primary filings confirm Rogers faces minimal intra-party opposition ahead of the May 19 Republican primary for unchanged districts, bolstered by his early re-election announcement and alignment with conservative priorities on defense and border security. Democrat Lee McInnis advances unopposed but enters a district where Trump carried over 70% in recent cycles. While commanding odds reflect incumbency advantages and weak Democratic turnout in safe seats, shifts could arise from a late scandal, health event, or national midterm wave flipping battlegrounds, though structural barriers remain high.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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