Incumbent Democratic Representative Gwen Moore secured her party's nomination in the August 11 primary and faces Republican challengers in Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District. The seat covers Milwaukee and surrounding suburbs with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26, reflecting consistent strong Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Moore's 2024 reelection margin exceeding 45 points. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe Democratic or Solid Democratic based on registration advantages, historical turnout patterns, and limited Republican fundraising. Trader consensus at 98 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as an unexpected withdrawal, major scandal, or sustained national partisan shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Casa WI-04
Vencedor da eleição para a Casa WI-04
$33,516 Vol.
$33,516 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
98%
Partido Republicano
2%
$33,516 Vol.
$33,516 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$12,352 Vol.
98%
Partido Republicano
$21,164 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Gwen Moore secured her party's nomination in the August 11 primary and faces Republican challengers in Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District. The seat covers Milwaukee and surrounding suburbs with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26, reflecting consistent strong Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Moore's 2024 reelection margin exceeding 45 points. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe Democratic or Solid Democratic based on registration advantages, historical turnout patterns, and limited Republican fundraising. Trader consensus at 98 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as an unexpected withdrawal, major scandal, or sustained national partisan shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$33,516Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Gwen Moore secured her party's nomination in the August 11 primary and faces Republican challengers in Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District. The seat covers Milwaukee and surrounding suburbs with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26, reflecting consistent strong Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Moore's 2024 reelection margin exceeding 45 points. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe Democratic or Solid Democratic based on registration advantages, historical turnout patterns, and limited Republican fundraising. Trader consensus at 98 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as an unexpected withdrawal, major scandal, or sustained national partisan shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,516Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Gwen Moore secured her party's nomination in the August 11 primary and faces Republican challengers in Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District. The seat covers Milwaukee and surrounding suburbs with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26, reflecting consistent strong Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Moore's 2024 reelection margin exceeding 45 points. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe Democratic or Solid Democratic based on registration advantages, historical turnout patterns, and limited Republican fundraising. Trader consensus at 98 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as an unexpected withdrawal, major scandal, or sustained national partisan shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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