Skip to main content
icon for Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Hualien
Política·Taiwan

Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Hualien

icon for Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Hualien
Política·Taiwan

Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Hualien

Yu Shu-chen 84%

Wei Chia-hsien 10%

Chang Chun 10%

Lo Pei-chin 1.6%

Polymarket
NOVO

Yu Shu-chen 84%

Wei Chia-hsien 10%

Chang Chun 10%

Lo Pei-chin 1.6%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Yu Shu-chen

Yu Shu-chen

$1,412 Vol.

84%

icon for Wei Chia-hsien

Wei Chia-hsien

$767 Vol.

10%

icon for Chang Chun

Chang Chun

$759 Vol.

10%

icon for Lo Pei-chin

Lo Pei-chin

$400 Vol.

2%

icon for Yeh Yao-hui

Yeh Yao-hui

$634 Vol.

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Yu Shu-chen holds the strongest position in the Hualien County magistrate race as the official Kuomintang nominee, selected in March 2026 following an internal party poll that resolved competition from figures such as Chang Chun, Ho Chi-sheng, and Yeh Yao-hui. Hualien’s consistent support for KMT candidates, combined with the term limit preventing incumbent Hsu Chen-wei from seeking re-election, underpins trader consensus around her prospects ahead of the November 28, 2026 local elections. Other listed contenders, including independents and lower-probability names, reflect limited organized opposition or party backing at this stage, with no major new endorsements, polling shifts, or procedural changes reported in recent weeks to alter the field.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$3,972
Data de Término
28 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Yu Shu-chen holds the strongest position in the Hualien County magistrate race as the official Kuomintang nominee, selected in March 2026 following an internal party poll that resolved competition from figures such as Chang Chun, Ho Chi-sheng, and Yeh Yao-hui. Hualien’s consistent support for KMT candidates, combined with the term limit preventing incumbent Hsu Chen-wei from seeking re-election, underpins trader consensus around her prospects ahead of the November 28, 2026 local elections. Other listed contenders, including independents and lower-probability names, reflect limited organized opposition or party backing at this stage, with no major new endorsements, polling shifts, or procedural changes reported in recent weeks to alter the field.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$3,972
Data de Término
28 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Relacionado

icon for Tsai Yi-yu vencerá a próxima eleição para Magistrado do Condado de Chiayi?

Tsai Yi-yu vencerá a próxima eleição para Magistrado do Condado de Chiayi?

92%
Sim
icon for Chung Tung-chin vencerá a próxima eleição para Magistrado do Condado de Miaoli?

Chung Tung-chin vencerá a próxima eleição para Magistrado do Condado de Miaoli?

89%
Sim
icon for Wu Hsiu-hua vencerá a próxima eleição para Magistrado do Condado de Taitung?

Wu Hsiu-hua vencerá a próxima eleição para Magistrado do Condado de Taitung?

89%
Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Hualien" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Yu Shu-chen" at 84%, followed by "Wei Chia-hsien" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 84¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Hualien" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Hualien," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Hualien" is "Yu Shu-chen" at 84%, meaning the market assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Wei Chia-hsien" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Hualien" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.