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icon for Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Taoyuan
Política·Taiwan

Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Taoyuan

icon for Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Taoyuan
Política·Taiwan

Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Taoyuan

Chang San-cheng 89%

Huang Shih-chieh 2.8%

Perng Shaw-jiin <1%

Polymarket
NOVO

Chang San-cheng 89%

Huang Shih-chieh 2.8%

Perng Shaw-jiin <1%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Chang San-cheng

Chang San-cheng

$2,770 Vol.

89%

icon for Huang Shih-chieh

Huang Shih-chieh

$1,532 Vol.

7%

icon for Perng Shaw-jiin

Perng Shaw-jiin

$1,216 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent KMT Mayor Chang San-cheng holds a commanding lead in the Taoyuan mayoral race ahead of the November 28, 2026 local elections, consistent with trader pricing that assigns him the highest implied probability among listed outcomes. The DPP formalized its challenge by nominating former deputy justice minister Huang Shih-chieh in April 2026, yet earlier polling showed the incumbent ahead of potential rivals by solid margins. KMT organizational efforts, including a July 2026 rally backing re-election bids across multiple municipalities, have reinforced party cohesion in this key special municipality. Limited recent movement in alternative candidacies, including Perng Shaw-jiin, aligns with the market's assessment of structural advantages for the sitting mayor in a contest shaped by party nominations and local governance records.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$5,518
Data de Término
28 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent KMT Mayor Chang San-cheng holds a commanding lead in the Taoyuan mayoral race ahead of the November 28, 2026 local elections, consistent with trader pricing that assigns him the highest implied probability among listed outcomes. The DPP formalized its challenge by nominating former deputy justice minister Huang Shih-chieh in April 2026, yet earlier polling showed the incumbent ahead of potential rivals by solid margins. KMT organizational efforts, including a July 2026 rally backing re-election bids across multiple municipalities, have reinforced party cohesion in this key special municipality. Limited recent movement in alternative candidacies, including Perng Shaw-jiin, aligns with the market's assessment of structural advantages for the sitting mayor in a contest shaped by party nominations and local governance records.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$5,518
Data de Término
28 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Taoyuan" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chang San-cheng" at 89%, followed by "Huang Shih-chieh" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Taoyuan" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Taoyuan," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Taoyuan" is "Chang San-cheng" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Huang Shih-chieh" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Taoyuan" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.