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icon for Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Kinmen
Política·Taiwan

Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Kinmen

icon for Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Kinmen
Política·Taiwan

Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Kinmen

Chen Yu-jen 88%

Li Wen-liang 12%

Liang Wen-tao 2.1%

Yang Cheng-wu <1%

Polymarket
NOVO

Chen Yu-jen 88%

Li Wen-liang 12%

Liang Wen-tao 2.1%

Yang Cheng-wu <1%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Chen Yu-jen

Chen Yu-jen

$1,926 Vol.

88%

icon for Li Wen-liang

Li Wen-liang

$376 Vol.

12%

icon for Liang Wen-tao

Liang Wen-tao

$245 Vol.

2%

icon for Yang Cheng-wu

Yang Cheng-wu

$246 Vol.

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang nominee and sitting legislator, holds the leading position in trader assessments for the November 28, 2026, Kinmen County magistrate election due to the party's strong historical performance in the county and her status as the sole KMT candidate following the March 2026 nomination. Kinmen's longstanding alignment with KMT candidates, limited DPP participation in recent cycles, and the absence of other major party contenders reinforce this consensus. Lower-priced outcomes for figures such as Li Wen-liang reflect fragmented opposition support, while the election timeline leaves room for shifts from campaign developments, candidate registrations, or turnout patterns in this offshore county.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$2,793
Data de Término
28 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang nominee and sitting legislator, holds the leading position in trader assessments for the November 28, 2026, Kinmen County magistrate election due to the party's strong historical performance in the county and her status as the sole KMT candidate following the March 2026 nomination. Kinmen's longstanding alignment with KMT candidates, limited DPP participation in recent cycles, and the absence of other major party contenders reinforce this consensus. Lower-priced outcomes for figures such as Li Wen-liang reflect fragmented opposition support, while the election timeline leaves room for shifts from campaign developments, candidate registrations, or turnout patterns in this offshore county.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$2,793
Data de Término
28 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Kinmen" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chen Yu-jen" at 88%, followed by "Li Wen-liang" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Kinmen" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Kinmen," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Kinmen" is "Chen Yu-jen" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Li Wen-liang" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Kinmen" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.