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icon for Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Kaohsiung
Política·Taiwan

Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Kaohsiung

icon for Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Kaohsiung
Política·Taiwan

Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Kaohsiung

Lai Jui-lung 80%

Ko Chih-en 12.3%

Hsu Chih-chieh 6%

Lin Tai-hua 5%

Polymarket
NOVO

Lai Jui-lung 80%

Ko Chih-en 12.3%

Hsu Chih-chieh 6%

Lin Tai-hua 5%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Lai Jui-lung

Lai Jui-lung

$1,063 Vol.

80%

icon for Ko Chih-en

Ko Chih-en

$71 Vol.

12%

icon for Hsu Chih-chieh

Hsu Chih-chieh

$115 Vol.

6%

icon for Lin Tai-hua

Lin Tai-hua

$63 Vol.

5%

icon for Chiu Yi-ying

Chiu Yi-ying

$61 Vol.

5%

icon for Chang Ching

Chang Ching

$62 Vol.

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung holds an 80% implied probability as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee for the November 2026 Kaohsiung mayoral election, following his January 2026 primary victory over rivals including Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua. Multiple mid-2026 surveys show him leading Kuomintang nominee Ko Chih-en by double-digit margins across districts and demographics, consistent with Kaohsiung's recent voting patterns favoring DPP candidates. Ko, who previously contested the seat in 2022, trails at around 12% amid limited recent polling gains. President William Lai's public endorsements and warnings about external interference have reinforced party cohesion, while the absence of major scandals or shifts in voter turnout indicators has sustained trader consensus around the DPP frontrunner ahead of the late-November vote.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,434
Data de Término
28 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung holds an 80% implied probability as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee for the November 2026 Kaohsiung mayoral election, following his January 2026 primary victory over rivals including Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua. Multiple mid-2026 surveys show him leading Kuomintang nominee Ko Chih-en by double-digit margins across districts and demographics, consistent with Kaohsiung's recent voting patterns favoring DPP candidates. Ko, who previously contested the seat in 2022, trails at around 12% amid limited recent polling gains. President William Lai's public endorsements and warnings about external interference have reinforced party cohesion, while the absence of major scandals or shifts in voter turnout indicators has sustained trader consensus around the DPP frontrunner ahead of the late-November vote.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,434
Data de Término
28 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Kaohsiung" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lai Jui-lung" at 80%, followed by "Ko Chih-en" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Kaohsiung" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Kaohsiung," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Kaohsiung" is "Lai Jui-lung" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ko Chih-en" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Kaohsiung" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.