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icon for Vencedor da eleição para prefeito da cidade de Chiayi
Eleições·Eleição Principal

Vencedor da eleição para prefeito da cidade de Chiayi

icon for Vencedor da eleição para prefeito da cidade de Chiayi
Eleições·Eleição Principal

Vencedor da eleição para prefeito da cidade de Chiayi

Wang Mei-hui 79%

Chang Chi-kai 12%

Huang Hung-cheng 4.7%

Chen Chia-ping 4.3%

Polymarket
NOVO

Wang Mei-hui 79%

Chang Chi-kai 12%

Huang Hung-cheng 4.7%

Chen Chia-ping 4.3%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Wang Mei-hui

Wang Mei-hui

$6,900 Vol.

79%

icon for Chang Chi-kai

Chang Chi-kai

$267 Vol.

12%

icon for Huang Hung-cheng

Huang Hung-cheng

$344 Vol.

5%

icon for Chen Chia-ping

Chen Chia-ping

$248 Vol.

4%

icon for Chen Kai-huang

Chen Kai-huang

$240 Vol.

3%

icon for Weng Shou-liang

Weng Shou-liang

$508 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wang Mei-hui, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the November 28, 2026 Chiayi City mayoral race. This positioning stems from her consistent edge in available polling, including a May 2026 TVBS survey showing her ahead of the main challenger by six points. The opposition alliance between the Kuomintang and Taiwan People’s Party has consolidated behind Chang Chi-kai as their joint nominee, yet this has not narrowed the gap in market-implied probabilities. Minor candidates such as Huang Hung-cheng and Chen Chia-ping register negligible support, reflecting limited momentum or party backing. With roughly three months until voting, the current consensus centers on Wang’s structural advantages in a city with shifting partisan dynamics under term-limited incumbent Huang Min-hui.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$8,506
Data de Término
28 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wang Mei-hui, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the November 28, 2026 Chiayi City mayoral race. This positioning stems from her consistent edge in available polling, including a May 2026 TVBS survey showing her ahead of the main challenger by six points. The opposition alliance between the Kuomintang and Taiwan People’s Party has consolidated behind Chang Chi-kai as their joint nominee, yet this has not narrowed the gap in market-implied probabilities. Minor candidates such as Huang Hung-cheng and Chen Chia-ping register negligible support, reflecting limited momentum or party backing. With roughly three months until voting, the current consensus centers on Wang’s structural advantages in a city with shifting partisan dynamics under term-limited incumbent Huang Min-hui.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$8,506
Data de Término
28 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para prefeito da cidade de Chiayi" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Wang Mei-hui" at 79%, followed by "Chang Chi-kai" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição para prefeito da cidade de Chiayi" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para prefeito da cidade de Chiayi," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para prefeito da cidade de Chiayi" is "Wang Mei-hui" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chang Chi-kai" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para prefeito da cidade de Chiayi" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.