Chen Chen-chung leads trader consensus in the Penghu County magistrate race ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections, reflecting the KMT’s formal nomination of the township head and the party’s stronger historical performance in the county. DPP support has consolidated around Wu Shu-chin after incumbent Chen Kuang-fu’s February 2026 injury sidelined his reelection bid, yet the market prices imply limited crossover appeal for the DPP ticket. Multiple independent and minor-party entrants remain priced near even money, signaling potential vote fragmentation that could narrow the frontrunner’s margin. Key upcoming catalysts include candidate registration deadlines, any KMT-DPP coordination efforts on the non-DPP side, and polling trends in Penghu’s smaller electorate, where turnout and local issues often decide narrow outcomes. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals or alliance announcements could quickly shift implied probabilities before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoChen Chen-chung 59%
Wu Shu-chin 14%
Chou Ni-an 9%
Hsu Chih-fu 7%
NOVO
NOVO
30 jun 2027
Chen Chen-chung
59%
Wu Shu-chin
14%
Chou Ni-an
9%
Hsu Chih-fu
7%
Chen Chin-chuan
5%
Yeh Chu-lin
20%
Chen Chen-chung 59%
Wu Shu-chin 14%
Chou Ni-an 9%
Hsu Chih-fu 7%
NOVO
NOVO
30 jun 2027
Chen Chen-chung
$1,367 Vol.
59%
Wu Shu-chin
$268 Vol.
14%
Chou Ni-an
$325 Vol.
9%
Hsu Chih-fu
$487 Vol.
7%
Chen Chin-chuan
$199 Vol.
5%
Yeh Chu-lin
$203 Vol.
20%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Chen-chung leads trader consensus in the Penghu County magistrate race ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections, reflecting the KMT’s formal nomination of the township head and the party’s stronger historical performance in the county. DPP support has consolidated around Wu Shu-chin after incumbent Chen Kuang-fu’s February 2026 injury sidelined his reelection bid, yet the market prices imply limited crossover appeal for the DPP ticket. Multiple independent and minor-party entrants remain priced near even money, signaling potential vote fragmentation that could narrow the frontrunner’s margin. Key upcoming catalysts include candidate registration deadlines, any KMT-DPP coordination efforts on the non-DPP side, and polling trends in Penghu’s smaller electorate, where turnout and local issues often decide narrow outcomes. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals or alliance announcements could quickly shift implied probabilities before election day.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,805Data de Término
28 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Chen-chung leads trader consensus in the Penghu County magistrate race ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections, reflecting the KMT’s formal nomination of the township head and the party’s stronger historical performance in the county. DPP support has consolidated around Wu Shu-chin after incumbent Chen Kuang-fu’s February 2026 injury sidelined his reelection bid, yet the market prices imply limited crossover appeal for the DPP ticket. Multiple independent and minor-party entrants remain priced near even money, signaling potential vote fragmentation that could narrow the frontrunner’s margin. Key upcoming catalysts include candidate registration deadlines, any KMT-DPP coordination efforts on the non-DPP side, and polling trends in Penghu’s smaller electorate, where turnout and local issues often decide narrow outcomes. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals or alliance announcements could quickly shift implied probabilities before election day.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$2,805Data de Término
28 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chen Chen-chung leads trader consensus in the Penghu County magistrate race ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections, reflecting the KMT’s formal nomination of the township head and the party’s stronger historical performance in the county. DPP support has consolidated around Wu Shu-chin after incumbent Chen Kuang-fu’s February 2026 injury sidelined his reelection bid, yet the market prices imply limited crossover appeal for the DPP ticket. Multiple independent and minor-party entrants remain priced near even money, signaling potential vote fragmentation that could narrow the frontrunner’s margin. Key upcoming catalysts include candidate registration deadlines, any KMT-DPP coordination efforts on the non-DPP side, and polling trends in Penghu’s smaller electorate, where turnout and local issues often decide narrow outcomes. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals or alliance announcements could quickly shift implied probabilities before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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