Florida's 20th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22, has delivered consistent Democratic landslides—often exceeding 70% in general elections—driving trader consensus to price the Democratic Party at 92.5% for the November 3, 2026, House election winner. The seat became vacant after Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's April 21 resignation amid an ethics probe, but mid-decade redistricting preserved its Solid Democratic rating per Cook Political Report. A crowded six-way Democratic primary on August 18 features strong fundraisers like Elijah Manley ($780K raised), contrasting a low-resource Republican field. While a national Republican midterm wave, Democratic nominee scandal, or primary bloodbath could challenge this, such shifts remain improbable given historical base rates and district demographics favoring Black voters and urban Broward County.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa FL-20
Vencedor da eleição da casa FL-20
$15,060 Vol.
$15,060 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
$15,060 Vol.
$15,060 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$5,956 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$9,104 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 20th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22, has delivered consistent Democratic landslides—often exceeding 70% in general elections—driving trader consensus to price the Democratic Party at 92.5% for the November 3, 2026, House election winner. The seat became vacant after Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's April 21 resignation amid an ethics probe, but mid-decade redistricting preserved its Solid Democratic rating per Cook Political Report. A crowded six-way Democratic primary on August 18 features strong fundraisers like Elijah Manley ($780K raised), contrasting a low-resource Republican field. While a national Republican midterm wave, Democratic nominee scandal, or primary bloodbath could challenge this, such shifts remain improbable given historical base rates and district demographics favoring Black voters and urban Broward County.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$15,060Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 20th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22, has delivered consistent Democratic landslides—often exceeding 70% in general elections—driving trader consensus to price the Democratic Party at 92.5% for the November 3, 2026, House election winner. The seat became vacant after Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's April 21 resignation amid an ethics probe, but mid-decade redistricting preserved its Solid Democratic rating per Cook Political Report. A crowded six-way Democratic primary on August 18 features strong fundraisers like Elijah Manley ($780K raised), contrasting a low-resource Republican field. While a national Republican midterm wave, Democratic nominee scandal, or primary bloodbath could challenge this, such shifts remain improbable given historical base rates and district demographics favoring Black voters and urban Broward County.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,060Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 20th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22, has delivered consistent Democratic landslides—often exceeding 70% in general elections—driving trader consensus to price the Democratic Party at 92.5% for the November 3, 2026, House election winner. The seat became vacant after Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's April 21 resignation amid an ethics probe, but mid-decade redistricting preserved its Solid Democratic rating per Cook Political Report. A crowded six-way Democratic primary on August 18 features strong fundraisers like Elijah Manley ($780K raised), contrasting a low-resource Republican field. While a national Republican midterm wave, Democratic nominee scandal, or primary bloodbath could challenge this, such shifts remain improbable given historical base rates and district demographics favoring Black voters and urban Broward County.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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