Mark Pocan’s long incumbency in the deep-blue WI-02 district, anchored in Dane County and Madison, underpins the Democratic Party’s 95-cent market price. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting a partisan voting index exceeding D+20 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The August 11 primary, featuring Pocan against limited intra-party opposition, has further clarified the path to the November general election. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented districtwide realignment or an unforeseen development such as a late scandal or health event affecting the incumbent—factors that have not materialized in current reporting and remain remote given historical turnout patterns and fundraising edges.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Casa WI-02
Vencedor da eleição para a Casa WI-02
$99,749 Vol.
$99,749 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
95%
Partido Republicano
2%
$99,749 Vol.
$99,749 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$60,468 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$39,281 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Pocan’s long incumbency in the deep-blue WI-02 district, anchored in Dane County and Madison, underpins the Democratic Party’s 95-cent market price. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting a partisan voting index exceeding D+20 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The August 11 primary, featuring Pocan against limited intra-party opposition, has further clarified the path to the November general election. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented districtwide realignment or an unforeseen development such as a late scandal or health event affecting the incumbent—factors that have not materialized in current reporting and remain remote given historical turnout patterns and fundraising edges.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$99,749Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Pocan’s long incumbency in the deep-blue WI-02 district, anchored in Dane County and Madison, underpins the Democratic Party’s 95-cent market price. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting a partisan voting index exceeding D+20 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The August 11 primary, featuring Pocan against limited intra-party opposition, has further clarified the path to the November general election. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented districtwide realignment or an unforeseen development such as a late scandal or health event affecting the incumbent—factors that have not materialized in current reporting and remain remote given historical turnout patterns and fundraising edges.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$99,749Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Pocan’s long incumbency in the deep-blue WI-02 district, anchored in Dane County and Madison, underpins the Democratic Party’s 95-cent market price. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting a partisan voting index exceeding D+20 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The August 11 primary, featuring Pocan against limited intra-party opposition, has further clarified the path to the November general election. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented districtwide realignment or an unforeseen development such as a late scandal or health event affecting the incumbent—factors that have not materialized in current reporting and remain remote given historical turnout patterns and fundraising edges.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions