Steve Scalise's position as the Republican incumbent and House Majority Leader anchors the strong trader consensus favoring his party in Louisiana's 1st congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts and held by GOP candidates with consistent margins in recent cycles. The district's voter base, combined with Scalise's fundraising edge and name recognition ahead of the November 2026 general election, limits the impact of declared Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and intra-party rival Randall Arrington. Primary dynamics and any late shifts in turnout or national political environment represent the main variables that could alter outcomes, though structural advantages continue to shape current market pricing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLA-01 Vencedor da eleição da casa
LA-01 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$49,108 Vol.
$49,108 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Democrata
6%
$49,108 Vol.
$49,108 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$21,178 Vol.
94%
Partido Democrata
$27,930 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Steve Scalise's position as the Republican incumbent and House Majority Leader anchors the strong trader consensus favoring his party in Louisiana's 1st congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts and held by GOP candidates with consistent margins in recent cycles. The district's voter base, combined with Scalise's fundraising edge and name recognition ahead of the November 2026 general election, limits the impact of declared Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and intra-party rival Randall Arrington. Primary dynamics and any late shifts in turnout or national political environment represent the main variables that could alter outcomes, though structural advantages continue to shape current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$49,108Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Steve Scalise's position as the Republican incumbent and House Majority Leader anchors the strong trader consensus favoring his party in Louisiana's 1st congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts and held by GOP candidates with consistent margins in recent cycles. The district's voter base, combined with Scalise's fundraising edge and name recognition ahead of the November 2026 general election, limits the impact of declared Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and intra-party rival Randall Arrington. Primary dynamics and any late shifts in turnout or national political environment represent the main variables that could alter outcomes, though structural advantages continue to shape current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$49,108Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Steve Scalise's position as the Republican incumbent and House Majority Leader anchors the strong trader consensus favoring his party in Louisiana's 1st congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts and held by GOP candidates with consistent margins in recent cycles. The district's voter base, combined with Scalise's fundraising edge and name recognition ahead of the November 2026 general election, limits the impact of declared Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and intra-party rival Randall Arrington. Primary dynamics and any late shifts in turnout or national political environment represent the main variables that could alter outcomes, though structural advantages continue to shape current market pricing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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