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icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa sairá como líder da Síria até 31 de dezembro de 2026?

Ahmed al-Sharaa sairá como líder da Síria até 31 de dezembro de 2026?

icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa sairá como líder da Síria até 31 de dezembro de 2026?

Ahmed al-Sharaa sairá como líder da Síria até 31 de dezembro de 2026?

dez 31

dez 31

Sim

13% chance
Polymarket

$56,649 Vol.

Sim

13% chance
Polymarket

$56,649 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Syria’s transitional constitutional declaration, ratified in March 2025, sets a five-year framework extending through 2030 and positions Ahmed al-Sharaa as interim president with authority to form governments and oversee integration of armed groups. Recent cabinet and governor reshuffles in May 2026, including removal of close relatives from senior posts, reflect ongoing efforts to broaden domestic support and address governance criticisms. Diplomatic outreach, including meetings with U.S., European, and regional leaders, has secured sanctions relief and reconstruction pledges, while agreements with the SDF and recognition of Kurdish rights have reduced immediate internal challenges. These developments align with trader consensus that the established transition timeline and institutional consolidation make removal by the end of 2026 unlikely absent major unforeseen disruption.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$56,649
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Syria’s transitional constitutional declaration, ratified in March 2025, sets a five-year framework extending through 2030 and positions Ahmed al-Sharaa as interim president with authority to form governments and oversee integration of armed groups. Recent cabinet and governor reshuffles in May 2026, including removal of close relatives from senior posts, reflect ongoing efforts to broaden domestic support and address governance criticisms. Diplomatic outreach, including meetings with U.S., European, and regional leaders, has secured sanctions relief and reconstruction pledges, while agreements with the SDF and recognition of Kurdish rights have reduced immediate internal challenges. These developments align with trader consensus that the established transition timeline and institutional consolidation make removal by the end of 2026 unlikely absent major unforeseen disruption.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$56,649
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Ahmed al-Sharaa sairá como líder da Síria até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ahmed al-Sharaa deixará de ser líder da Síria até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Ahmed al-Sharaa sairá como líder da Síria até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" has generated $56.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Ahmed al-Sharaa sairá como líder da Síria até 31 de dezembro de 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Ahmed al-Sharaa sairá como líder da Síria até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" is "Ahmed al-Sharaa deixará de ser líder da Síria até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Ahmed al-Sharaa sairá como líder da Síria até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.