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icon for Eleição para o Senado do Maranhão: 2º Lugar
Política·Eleição Principal

Eleição para o Senado do Maranhão: 2º Lugar

icon for Eleição para o Senado do Maranhão: 2º Lugar
Política·Eleição Principal

Eleição para o Senado do Maranhão: 2º Lugar

Roseana Sarney 45%

Dr. Hilton Gonçalo 44%

Enilton Rodrigues 44%

Fufuca 44%

Polymarket
NOVO

Roseana Sarney 45%

Dr. Hilton Gonçalo 44%

Enilton Rodrigues 44%

Fufuca 44%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Roseana Sarney

Roseana Sarney

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Dr. Hilton Gonçalo

Dr. Hilton Gonçalo

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Enilton Rodrigues

Enilton Rodrigues

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Fufuca

Fufuca

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Simplício Araújo

Simplício Araújo

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Wilson Leite

Wilson Leite

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Lahesio Bonfim

Lahesio Bonfim

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Raimundo Moreira

Raimundo Moreira

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Cidônio Gonçalves

Cidônio Gonçalves

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Weverton Rocha

Weverton Rocha

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Eliziane Gama

Eliziane Gama

$0 Vol.

40%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for Maranhão's two Senate seats show a fragmented field with no dominant second-place contender, as multiple candidates—including incumbents Weverton Rocha (PDT) and Eliziane Gama (PT), along with Roseana Sarney (MDB), Duarte Jr. (Avante), Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), and André Fufuca (PP)—remain clustered in the low-to-mid teens. July and August surveys from Real Time Big Data and other firms highlight technical ties among seven or more names, reflecting limited name recognition shifts and balanced regional support ahead of the October vote. This dynamic sustains trader consensus around even odds for second place, with separation likely to emerge from final campaign momentum, coalition alignments, or turnout patterns in key municipalities rather than any single recent catalyst.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for Maranhão's two Senate seats show a fragmented field with no dominant second-place contender, as multiple candidates—including incumbents Weverton Rocha (PDT) and Eliziane Gama (PT), along with Roseana Sarney (MDB), Duarte Jr. (Avante), Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), and André Fufuca (PP)—remain clustered in the low-to-mid teens. July and August surveys from Real Time Big Data and other firms highlight technical ties among seven or more names, reflecting limited name recognition shifts and balanced regional support ahead of the October vote. This dynamic sustains trader consensus around even odds for second place, with separation likely to emerge from final campaign momentum, coalition alignments, or turnout patterns in key municipalities rather than any single recent catalyst.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição para o Senado do Maranhão: 2º Lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Roseana Sarney" at 45%, followed by "Dr. Hilton Gonçalo" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eleição para o Senado do Maranhão: 2º Lugar" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eleição para o Senado do Maranhão: 2º Lugar," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição para o Senado do Maranhão: 2º Lugar" is "Roseana Sarney" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dr. Hilton Gonçalo" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição para o Senado do Maranhão: 2º Lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.