A crowded field of 11 candidates for Goiás’s two Senate seats has produced closely matched probabilities for second place, driven by the July Quaest poll showing Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) leading at 20% while Vanderlan Cardoso, Dr. Zacharias Calil, Gustavo Gayer, and Gustavo Mendanha clustered between 6-10% amid 31% undecided voters. This fragmentation, combined with limited name recognition for several contenders including Ernesto Roller and Guilherme Darques, sustains trader consensus that no single candidate has consolidated the remaining vote share. Upcoming campaign events, additional state-level polling, and potential endorsements from parties or local figures could consolidate support and shift positioning ahead of the October election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVanderlan Cardoso 26%
Gracinha Caiado 23%
Cintia Dias 23%
Gustavo Mendanha 22%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Vanderlan Cardoso
26%
Gracinha Caiado
23%
Cintia Dias
23%
Gustavo Mendanha
22%
Iure Castro
22%
Ernesto Roller
22%
Dr. Zacharias Calil
21%
Isaura Lemos
21%
Oséias Varão
21%
Guilherme Darques
20%
Gustavo Gayer
20%
Vanderlan Cardoso 26%
Gracinha Caiado 23%
Cintia Dias 23%
Gustavo Mendanha 22%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Vanderlan Cardoso
$0 Vol.
26%
Gracinha Caiado
$0 Vol.
23%
Cintia Dias
$0 Vol.
23%
Gustavo Mendanha
$0 Vol.
22%
Iure Castro
$0 Vol.
22%
Ernesto Roller
$0 Vol.
22%
Dr. Zacharias Calil
$0 Vol.
21%
Isaura Lemos
$0 Vol.
21%
Oséias Varão
$0 Vol.
21%
Guilherme Darques
$0 Vol.
20%
Gustavo Gayer
$0 Vol.
20%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).A crowded field of 11 candidates for Goiás’s two Senate seats has produced closely matched probabilities for second place, driven by the July Quaest poll showing Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) leading at 20% while Vanderlan Cardoso, Dr. Zacharias Calil, Gustavo Gayer, and Gustavo Mendanha clustered between 6-10% amid 31% undecided voters. This fragmentation, combined with limited name recognition for several contenders including Ernesto Roller and Guilherme Darques, sustains trader consensus that no single candidate has consolidated the remaining vote share. Upcoming campaign events, additional state-level polling, and potential endorsements from parties or local figures could consolidate support and shift positioning ahead of the October election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).A crowded field of 11 candidates for Goiás’s two Senate seats has produced closely matched probabilities for second place, driven by the July Quaest poll showing Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) leading at 20% while Vanderlan Cardoso, Dr. Zacharias Calil, Gustavo Gayer, and Gustavo Mendanha clustered between 6-10% amid 31% undecided voters. This fragmentation, combined with limited name recognition for several contenders including Ernesto Roller and Guilherme Darques, sustains trader consensus that no single candidate has consolidated the remaining vote share. Upcoming campaign events, additional state-level polling, and potential endorsements from parties or local figures could consolidate support and shift positioning ahead of the October election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A crowded field of 11 candidates for Goiás’s two Senate seats has produced closely matched probabilities for second place, driven by the July Quaest poll showing Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) leading at 20% while Vanderlan Cardoso, Dr. Zacharias Calil, Gustavo Gayer, and Gustavo Mendanha clustered between 6-10% amid 31% undecided voters. This fragmentation, combined with limited name recognition for several contenders including Ernesto Roller and Guilherme Darques, sustains trader consensus that no single candidate has consolidated the remaining vote share. Upcoming campaign events, additional state-level polling, and potential endorsements from parties or local figures could consolidate support and shift positioning ahead of the October election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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