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icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador do Acre
Política·Brasil

Vencedor da eleição para governador do Acre

icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador do Acre
Política·Brasil

Vencedor da eleição para governador do Acre

Dr. Luisinho 46%

Thor Dantas 43%

Alan Rick 43%

Eudo Raffael 42%

Polymarket
NOVO

Dr. Luisinho 46%

Thor Dantas 43%

Alan Rick 43%

Eudo Raffael 42%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Dr. Luisinho

Dr. Luisinho

$0 Vol.

46%

icon for Thor Dantas

Thor Dantas

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Alan Rick

Alan Rick

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Eudo Raffael

Eudo Raffael

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Mailza Assis

Mailza Assis

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Tião Bocalom

Tião Bocalom

$0 Vol.

41%

The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The closely matched probabilities around 44% for leading contenders including Alan Rick, Mailza Assis, and several others reflect an open field in the October 2026 Acre gubernatorial election, with no candidate yet consolidating broad support ahead of the first round. Recent candidate registrations and party conventions through early August have clarified the slate, yet polling averages show fragmented preferences among voters in this single-round contest. Factors sustaining the tight positioning include the incumbent governor's visibility contrasted with challengers' regional bases, coalition negotiations, and undecided voters who remain a sizable share in surveys. Scheduled debates or shifts in federal alliances could alter momentum before election day, as could turnout patterns in key municipalities. Trader consensus embedded in current pricing captures this uncertainty without resolving the outcome.

The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The closely matched probabilities around 44% for leading contenders including Alan Rick, Mailza Assis, and several others reflect an open field in the October 2026 Acre gubernatorial election, with no candidate yet consolidating broad support ahead of the first round. Recent candidate registrations and party conventions through early August have clarified the slate, yet polling averages show fragmented preferences among voters in this single-round contest. Factors sustaining the tight positioning include the incumbent governor's visibility contrasted with challengers' regional bases, coalition negotiations, and undecided voters who remain a sizable share in surveys. Scheduled debates or shifts in federal alliances could alter momentum before election day, as could turnout patterns in key municipalities. Trader consensus embedded in current pricing captures this uncertainty without resolving the outcome.

The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador do Acre" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dr. Luisinho" at 46%, followed by "Thor Dantas" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição para governador do Acre" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Acre," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Acre" is "Dr. Luisinho" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Thor Dantas" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Acre" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.