Recent polling from July 2026 shows a fragmented field for Minas Gerais’s two Senate seats, with Marília Campos (PT) and Aécio Neves (PSDB) frequently topping or tying scenarios at 16-20%, followed closely by Carlos Viana (PSD), Domingos Sávio (PL), and Marcelo Aro (PP) in the 10-16% range. The August 16 start of official campaigning and absence of a dominant incumbent or consolidated coalition have kept support dispersed across left, center, and right-leaning options. This broad distribution of preferences sustains low implied probabilities for any single name in the 1st-place market, as modest shifts in alliances, turnout among key voting blocs, or late endorsements could reorder the top tier before the October 4 vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEleição para o Senado de Minas Gerais: 1º Lugar
Eleição para o Senado de Minas Gerais: 1º Lugar
Jordano Metalúrgico 30%
Marco Antônio Superman 21%
Domingos Sávio 21%
Juiz Ramon Moreira 19%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Jordano Metalúrgico
30%
Marco Antônio Superman
21%
Domingos Sávio
21%
Juiz Ramon Moreira
19%
Ana Luiza do MLB
19%
Carlos Viana
19%
Gustavo Galassi
19%
Arcanjo Pimenta
18%
Victória Mello Vic
18%
Fidélis Alcântara
17%
Manoel Carvalho
15%
Áurea Carolina
17%
Tião Pessoa
19%
Marcelo Heringer
22%
Marcelo Aro
19%
Carlin Moura
19%
Marília Campos
33%
Jordano Metalúrgico 30%
Marco Antônio Superman 21%
Domingos Sávio 21%
Juiz Ramon Moreira 19%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Jordano Metalúrgico
$46 Vol.
30%
Marco Antônio Superman
$46 Vol.
21%
Domingos Sávio
$46 Vol.
21%
Juiz Ramon Moreira
$46 Vol.
19%
Ana Luiza do MLB
$46 Vol.
19%
Carlos Viana
$46 Vol.
19%
Gustavo Galassi
$46 Vol.
19%
Arcanjo Pimenta
$46 Vol.
18%
Victória Mello Vic
$46 Vol.
18%
Fidélis Alcântara
$66 Vol.
17%
Manoel Carvalho
$119 Vol.
15%
Áurea Carolina
$86 Vol.
17%
Tião Pessoa
$46 Vol.
19%
Marcelo Heringer
$75 Vol.
22%
Marcelo Aro
$46 Vol.
19%
Carlin Moura
$46 Vol.
19%
Marília Campos
$66 Vol.
33%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July 2026 shows a fragmented field for Minas Gerais’s two Senate seats, with Marília Campos (PT) and Aécio Neves (PSDB) frequently topping or tying scenarios at 16-20%, followed closely by Carlos Viana (PSD), Domingos Sávio (PL), and Marcelo Aro (PP) in the 10-16% range. The August 16 start of official campaigning and absence of a dominant incumbent or consolidated coalition have kept support dispersed across left, center, and right-leaning options. This broad distribution of preferences sustains low implied probabilities for any single name in the 1st-place market, as modest shifts in alliances, turnout among key voting blocs, or late endorsements could reorder the top tier before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Volume
$960Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July 2026 shows a fragmented field for Minas Gerais’s two Senate seats, with Marília Campos (PT) and Aécio Neves (PSDB) frequently topping or tying scenarios at 16-20%, followed closely by Carlos Viana (PSD), Domingos Sávio (PL), and Marcelo Aro (PP) in the 10-16% range. The August 16 start of official campaigning and absence of a dominant incumbent or consolidated coalition have kept support dispersed across left, center, and right-leaning options. This broad distribution of preferences sustains low implied probabilities for any single name in the 1st-place market, as modest shifts in alliances, turnout among key voting blocs, or late endorsements could reorder the top tier before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$960Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from July 2026 shows a fragmented field for Minas Gerais’s two Senate seats, with Marília Campos (PT) and Aécio Neves (PSDB) frequently topping or tying scenarios at 16-20%, followed closely by Carlos Viana (PSD), Domingos Sávio (PL), and Marcelo Aro (PP) in the 10-16% range. The August 16 start of official campaigning and absence of a dominant incumbent or consolidated coalition have kept support dispersed across left, center, and right-leaning options. This broad distribution of preferences sustains low implied probabilities for any single name in the 1st-place market, as modest shifts in alliances, turnout among key voting blocs, or late endorsements could reorder the top tier before the October 4 vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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